BBAI vs. BTC-USD
BBAI (BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.) is a stock, while BTC-USD (Bitcoin) is a cryptocurrency. Over the past 3 years, BBAI returned 15.03%/yr vs 27.25%/yr for BTC-USD. At a 0.19 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BBAI achieves a -42.78% return, which is significantly lower than BTC-USD's -28.58% return.
BBAI
- 1D
- -5.50%
- 1M
- -23.13%
- 6M
- -51.03%
- YTD
- -42.78%
- 1Y
- -52.02%
- 3Y*
- 15.03%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BTC-USD
- 1D
- -1.96%
- 1M
- -3.01%
- 6M
- -31.47%
- YTD
- -28.58%
- 1Y
- -47.54%
- 3Y*
- 27.25%
- 5Y*
- 13.75%
- 10Y*
- 57.45%
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. | -42.78% | 21.35% | 107.94% | 217.65% | -88.10% | -27.90% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -28.58% | -6.27% | 120.76% | 155.82% | -64.23% | -2.99% |
Correlation
The correlation between BBAI and BTC-USD is 0.29, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.23 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 17, 2021 | 0.19 |
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Return for Risk
BBAI vs. BTC-USD — Risk / Return Rank
BBAI
BTC-USD
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) and Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.52 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.07 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.93 | 0.83 | +0.11 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.79 | -0.90 | +0.10 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.22 | -1.46 | +0.23 |
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Drawdowns
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BBAI drawdown since its inception was -95.01%, which is greater than BTC-USD's maximum drawdown of -85.30%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BBAI and BTC-USD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -95.01% | -85.30% | -9.71% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -65.88% | -53.08% | -12.80% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -75.56% | -53.08% | -22.48% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -76.67% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -83.80% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -75.65% | -49.89% | -25.76% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -70.81% | -42.55% | -28.26% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 42.54% | 28.99% | +13.55% |
Volatility
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Volatility Comparison
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a higher volatility of 12.84% compared to Bitcoin (BTC-USD) at 8.86%. This indicates that BBAI's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTC-USD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 12.84% | 8.86% | +3.98% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 53.38% | 34.96% | +18.42% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 88.15% | 35.56% | +52.59% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 173.31% | 43.94% | +129.37% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 173.31% | 56.32% | +116.99% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BBAI and BTC-USD have a correlation of 0.29, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
BBAI has higher volatility (12.84%) compared to BTC-USD (8.86%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BBAI dropped -95.01% vs BTC-USD's -85.30%.
BBAI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.59 vs -1.11), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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