BBAI vs. BTC-USD
BBAI (BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.) is a stock, while BTC-USD (Bitcoin) is a cryptocurrency. Over the past 3 years, BBAI returned 9.59%/yr vs 29.40%/yr for BTC-USD. Their 0.19 correlation means their historical movements had little consistent relationship.
Performance
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BBAI achieves a -48.33% return, which is significantly lower than BTC-USD's -27.75% return.
BBAI
- 1D
- -1.41%
- 1M
- -20.96%
- 6M
- -44.64%
- YTD
- -48.33%
- 1Y
- -56.41%
- 3Y*
- 9.59%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- -20.07%
BTC-USD
- 1D
- 0.72%
- 1M
- 1.12%
- 6M
- -17.79%
- YTD
- -27.75%
- 1Y
- -43.83%
- 3Y*
- 29.40%
- 5Y*
- 10.61%
- 10Y*
- 59.66%
- ALL TIME*
- 87.16%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $69.43M | $78.01M | $145.89M | |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | $1569.44T | $1598.63T | $2087.37T |
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. | -48.33% | 21.35% | 107.94% | 217.65% | -88.10% | -27.90% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -27.75% | -6.27% | 120.76% | 155.82% | -64.23% | -2.99% |
Correlation
The correlation between BBAI and BTC-USD is 0.30, which is low. Their historical price movements had little consistent relationship.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.30 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.23 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 17, 2021 | 0.19 |
The correlation between BBAI and BTC-USD shifts across timeframes, from 0.19 (all time) to 0.30 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
BBAI vs. BTC-USD — Risk / Return Rank
BBAI
BTC-USD
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) and Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.36 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.66 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.91 | 0.85 | +0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.79 | -0.83 | +0.03 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.26 | -1.27 | +0.01 |
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Drawdowns
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BBAI drawdown since its inception was -95.01%, which is greater than BTC-USD's maximum drawdown of -85.30%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BBAI and BTC-USD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -95.01% | -85.30% | -9.71% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -70.93% | -53.08% | -17.85% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -75.56% | -53.08% | -22.48% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -76.67% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -83.80% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -78.01% | -49.31% | -28.70% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -70.89% | -42.73% | -28.16% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 44.55% | 24.94% | +19.61% |
Volatility
BBAI vs. BTC-USD - Volatility Comparison
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has a higher volatility of 16.91% compared to Bitcoin (BTC-USD) at 8.45%. This indicates that BBAI's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTC-USD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BBAI | BTC-USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 16.91% | 8.45% | +8.46% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 53.62% | 33.72% | +19.90% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 86.26% | 35.86% | +50.40% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 172.41% | 43.65% | +128.76% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 172.41% | 56.22% | +116.19% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BBAI and BTC-USD have a correlation of 0.30, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
BBAI has higher volatility (16.91%) compared to BTC-USD (8.45%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BBAI dropped -95.01% vs BTC-USD's -85.30%.
BBAI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.65 vs -1.02), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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