AFG vs. SPY

Last updated Jun 24, 2026

AFG (American Financial Group, Inc.) is a stock, while SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, AFG returned 15.03%/yr vs 15.53%/yr for SPY. At a 0.49 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

AFG vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, AFG achieves a 3.13% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 8.15% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with AFG having a 15.03% annualized return and SPY not far ahead at 15.53%.

AFG

• 1D: 2.05%
• 1M: 0.56%
• YTD: 3.13%
• 6M: 1.94%
• 1Y: 14.82%
• 3Y*: 12.28%
• 5Y*: 10.72%
• 10Y*: 15.03%

SPY

• 1D: -1.45%
• 1M: -1.36%
• YTD: 8.15%
• 6M: 7.20%
• 1Y: 23.59%
• 3Y*: 20.68%
• 5Y*: 13.05%
• 10Y*: 15.53%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

AFG vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
AFG American Financial Group, Inc.	3.13%	5.45%	23.79%	-7.61%	10.91%	93.83%	-16.18%	27.10%	-13.04%	29.20%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	8.15%	17.72%	24.89%	26.18%	-18.18%	28.73%	18.33%	31.22%	-4.57%	21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between AFG and SPY is 0.08, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.08
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.25
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.39
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.46
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 29, 1993	0.49

Over the past year, the correlation between AFG and SPY has dropped to 0.08 - well below their long-term average of 0.49, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.

Return for Risk

AFG vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

AFG

AFG Risk / Return Rank: 63
AFG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 67
AFG Sortino Ratio Rank: 61
AFG Omega Ratio Rank: 58
AFG Calmar Ratio Rank: 65
AFG Martin Ratio Rank: 63

SPY

SPY Risk / Return Rank: 59
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 58
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 56
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 57
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 56
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 67

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

AFG vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	AFG	SPY	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.78	1.90	-1.12
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	1.19	2.58	-1.39
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.14	1.34	-0.20
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	1.13	2.67	-1.54
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	2.10	11.92	-9.82

AFG vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current AFG Sharpe Ratio is 0.78, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 1.90. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of AFG and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

AFG vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum AFG drawdown since its inception was -62.94%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AFG and SPY.

Drawdown Indicators

	AFG	SPY	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-62.94%	-55.19%	-7.75%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-13.19%	-8.88%	-4.31%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-19.85%	-18.76%	-1.09%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-23.85%	-24.50%	+0.65%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-58.98%	-33.72%	-25.26%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-3.26%	-3.17%	-0.09%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-16.74%	-9.04%	-7.70%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.08%	1.98%	+5.10%

Volatility

AFG vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) has a higher volatility of 5.44% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 4.87%. This indicates that AFG's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	AFG	SPY	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	5.44%	4.87%	+0.57%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	12.64%	9.85%	+2.79%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	19.26%	12.50%	+6.76%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	22.84%	17.15%	+5.69%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	30.28%	17.95%	+12.33%

Dividends

AFG vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

AFG's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.33%, more than SPY's 1.03% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
AFG American Financial Group, Inc.	5.33%	5.33%	6.89%	6.81%	10.42%	20.43%	4.39%	4.51%	4.92%	4.41%	2.44%	2.82%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	1.03%	1.07%	1.21%	1.40%	1.65%	1.20%	1.52%	1.75%	2.04%	1.80%	2.03%	2.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both AFG and SPY in my portfolio?

AFG and SPY have a correlation of 0.08, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, AFG or SPY?

AFG has higher volatility (5.44%) compared to SPY (4.87%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AFG dropped -62.94% vs SPY's -55.19%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.90 vs 0.78), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.