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^TNX vs. TMV
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

^TNX vs. TMV - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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^TNX vs. TMV - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
^TNX
Treasury Yield 10 Years
3.75%-8.97%18.29%-0.34%156.55%64.89%-52.21%-28.56%11.68%-1.68%
TMV
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X
1.80%-3.75%39.76%-9.69%150.18%0.83%-54.13%-34.22%3.99%-26.48%

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ^TNX achieves a 3.75% return, which is significantly higher than TMV's 1.80% return. Over the past 10 years, ^TNX has outperformed TMV with an annualized return of 9.20%, while TMV has yielded a comparatively lower -1.91% annualized return.


^TNX

1D
0.19%
1M
6.69%
YTD
3.75%
6M
5.19%
1Y
3.92%
3Y*
7.32%
5Y*
20.80%
10Y*
9.20%

TMV

1D
0.24%
1M
11.13%
YTD
1.80%
6M
9.01%
1Y
13.68%
3Y*
15.84%
5Y*
16.73%
10Y*
-1.91%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

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Return for Risk

^TNX vs. TMV — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

^TNX
^TNX Risk / Return Rank: 2222
Overall Rank
^TNX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2626
Sharpe Ratio Rank
^TNX Sortino Ratio Rank: 2323
Sortino Ratio Rank
^TNX Omega Ratio Rank: 2222
Omega Ratio Rank
^TNX Calmar Ratio Rank: 1919
Calmar Ratio Rank
^TNX Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank

TMV
TMV Risk / Return Rank: 2222
Overall Rank
TMV Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2323
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMV Sortino Ratio Rank: 2727
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMV Omega Ratio Rank: 2323
Omega Ratio Rank
TMV Calmar Ratio Rank: 2121
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMV Martin Ratio Rank: 1717
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

^TNX vs. TMV - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


^TNXTMVDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.22

0.40

-0.18

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.45

0.84

-0.39

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.09

-0.04

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.12

0.43

-0.31

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.21

0.76

-0.56

^TNX vs. TMV - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current ^TNX Sharpe Ratio is 0.22, which is lower than the TMV Sharpe Ratio of 0.40. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of ^TNX and TMV, offering insights into how both investments have performed under varying market conditions. These values are calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


^TNXTMVDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.22

0.40

-0.18

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.63

0.36

+0.28

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.19

-0.04

+0.23

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.02

-0.33

+0.31

Correlation

The correlation between ^TNX and TMV is 0.89, which is considered to be high. That indicates a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Having highly-correlated positions in a portfolio may signal a lack of diversification, potentially leading to increased risk during market downturns.


Drawdowns

^TNX vs. TMV - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ^TNX drawdown since its inception was -93.78%, smaller than the maximum TMV drawdown of -98.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^TNX and TMV.


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Drawdown Indicators


^TNXTMVDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-93.78%

-98.96%

+5.18%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-13.99%

-25.01%

+11.02%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-31.74%

-48.49%

+16.75%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-84.57%

-82.31%

-2.26%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-46.17%

-96.05%

+49.88%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-51.38%

-86.50%

+35.12%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

8.39%

14.05%

-5.66%

Volatility

^TNX vs. TMV - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) is 5.89%, while Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) has a volatility of 10.96%. This indicates that ^TNX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMV based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


^TNXTMVDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.89%

10.96%

-5.07%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

10.58%

19.57%

-8.99%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

17.89%

34.04%

-16.15%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

32.96%

47.26%

-14.30%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

48.18%

44.52%

+3.66%