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^TNX vs. TMF
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

^TNX vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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^TNX vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
^TNX
Treasury Yield 10 Years
3.75%-8.97%18.29%-0.34%156.55%64.89%-52.21%-28.56%11.68%-1.68%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
-3.05%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%39.02%34.75%-11.01%22.72%

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ^TNX achieves a 3.75% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -3.05% return. Over the past 10 years, ^TNX has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of 9.20%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -15.81% annualized return.


^TNX

1D
0.19%
1M
6.69%
YTD
3.75%
6M
5.19%
1Y
3.92%
3Y*
7.32%
5Y*
20.80%
10Y*
9.20%

TMF

1D
-0.28%
1M
-10.73%
YTD
-3.05%
6M
-9.57%
1Y
-17.24%
3Y*
-23.47%
5Y*
-29.34%
10Y*
-15.81%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

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Return for Risk

^TNX vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

^TNX
^TNX Risk / Return Rank: 2222
Overall Rank
^TNX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2626
Sharpe Ratio Rank
^TNX Sortino Ratio Rank: 2323
Sortino Ratio Rank
^TNX Omega Ratio Rank: 2222
Omega Ratio Rank
^TNX Calmar Ratio Rank: 1919
Calmar Ratio Rank
^TNX Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 44
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

^TNX vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


^TNXTMFDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.22

-0.51

+0.74

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.45

-0.52

+0.97

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

0.94

+0.11

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.12

-0.56

+0.68

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.21

-0.89

+1.09

^TNX vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current ^TNX Sharpe Ratio is 0.22, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.51. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of ^TNX and TMF, offering insights into how both investments have performed under varying market conditions. These values are calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


^TNXTMFDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.22

-0.51

+0.74

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.63

-0.63

+1.26

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.19

-0.36

+0.55

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.02

-0.13

+0.11

Correlation

The correlation between ^TNX and TMF is -0.89. This indicates that the assets' prices tend to move in opposite directions. Negative correlation can be particularly beneficial for diversification and risk management, as one asset may offset the losses of the other during market fluctuations.


Drawdowns

^TNX vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ^TNX drawdown since its inception was -93.78%, roughly equal to the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.61%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^TNX and TMF.


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Drawdown Indicators


^TNXTMFDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-93.78%

-92.61%

-1.17%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-13.99%

-27.13%

+13.14%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-31.74%

-88.37%

+56.63%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-84.57%

-92.61%

+8.04%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-46.17%

-91.97%

+45.80%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-51.38%

-43.14%

-8.24%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

8.39%

16.98%

-8.59%

Volatility

^TNX vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Treasury Yield 10 Years (^TNX) is 5.89%, while Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) has a volatility of 10.85%. This indicates that ^TNX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


^TNXTMFDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.89%

10.85%

-4.96%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

10.58%

19.49%

-8.91%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

17.89%

33.77%

-15.88%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

32.96%

46.81%

-13.85%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

48.18%

44.00%

+4.18%