Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IBTL.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF (Dist) | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
SWLD.L SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF | Global Equities | 30% |
ERNS.L iShares £ Ultrashort Bond UCITS ETF GBP (Dist) | Ultrashort Bond | 15% |
CMFP.L L&G Longer Dated All Commodities UCITS ETF | Commodities | 7.50% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | Gold, Precious Metals, Commodities | 7.50% |
Find the right asset allocation for All weather
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio All weather | 0.38% | -0.50% | 3.55% | 4.75% | 12.97% | 9.54% | 3.51% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CMFP.L L&G Longer Dated All Commodities UCITS ETF | -1.57% | -5.93% | 14.55% | 16.20% | 23.06% | 12.24% | 10.99% | 7.92% |
ERNS.L iShares £ Ultrashort Bond UCITS ETF GBP (Dist) | -0.13% | -0.70% | 1.21% | 2.17% | 2.65% | 7.23% | 2.56% | 1.68% |
IBTL.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF (Dist) | -0.33% | 1.37% | -0.79% | 0.42% | 4.14% | -1.36% | -6.42% | -1.77% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 2.73% | -9.60% | -2.28% | -1.68% | 23.26% | 29.22% | 17.40% | 12.43% |
SWLD.L SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF | 1.41% | 0.28% | 8.35% | 9.65% | 24.08% | 19.54% | 11.57% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 26, 2019, All weather's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.48%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 12.1 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +6.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -6.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, All weather closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 16, 2023 with a return of +11.3%, while the worst single day was Nov 17, 2023 at -9.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.12% | 2.54% | -4.62% | 3.67% | 1.19% | -1.18% | 3.55% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.96% | 1.55% | -0.01% | 0.55% | 0.44% | 3.20% | -0.38% | 1.36% | 3.55% | 1.47% | 0.71% | 0.51% | 15.87% |
| 2024 | -0.63% | 0.14% | 2.60% | -3.16% | 2.75% | 1.95% | 1.72% | 2.47% | 1.94% | -2.56% | 1.61% | -3.23% | 5.43% |
| 2023 | 4.92% | -4.24% | 4.18% | 1.49% | -1.78% | 1.96% | 0.87% | -1.82% | -5.22% | -2.26% | 6.80% | 5.30% | 9.76% |
| 2022 | -3.22% | -0.54% | -0.05% | -6.30% | -1.61% | -4.15% | 3.18% | -3.80% | -6.74% | -0.96% | 6.44% | -1.28% | -18.10% |
| 2021 | -1.43% | -2.08% | -0.25% | 2.87% | 2.01% | 1.27% | 2.53% | 0.38% | -2.71% | 3.19% | 0.13% | 0.98% | 6.88% |
Benchmark Metrics
All weather has an annualized alpha of 4.01%, beta of 0.17, and R2 of 0.09 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 26, 2019.
- This portfolio participated in 49.37% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 38.23% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.17 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.09 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.09 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.01%
- Beta
- 0.17
- R²
- 0.09
- Upside Capture
- 38.23%
- Downside Capture
- 49.37%
Expense Ratio
All weather has an expense ratio of 0.11%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All weather ranks 32 for risk / return — below 32% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for All weather and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.63 | 1.86 | -0.23 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.44 | 2.53 | -0.10 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.34 | -0.06 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.22 | 2.53 | -0.31 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.75 | 11.37 | -2.63 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CMFP.L L&G Longer Dated All Commodities UCITS ETF | 55 | 1.66 | 2.19 | 1.29 | 3.05 | 8.32 |
ERNS.L iShares £ Ultrashort Bond UCITS ETF GBP (Dist) | 16 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 1.07 | 0.64 | 1.41 |
IBTL.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF (Dist) | 14 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 1.06 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 27 | 0.96 | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.04 | 3.17 |
SWLD.L SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF | 67 | 1.99 | 2.93 | 1.35 | 2.68 | 11.57 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All weather provided a 1.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.40% | 2.42% | 2.65% | 2.20% | 1.36% | 0.73% | 0.86% | 1.17% | 1.21% | 1.15% | 1.10% | 0.94% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CMFP.L L&G Longer Dated All Commodities UCITS ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ERNS.L iShares £ Ultrashort Bond UCITS ETF GBP (Dist) | 3.24% | 4.65% | 5.42% | 4.54% | 1.14% | 0.28% | 0.75% | 1.04% | 0.74% | 0.52% | 0.81% | 0.72% |
IBTL.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF (Dist) | 2.27% | 4.31% | 4.58% | 3.79% | 2.96% | 1.72% | 1.86% | 2.54% | 2.75% | 2.68% | 2.45% | 2.09% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SWLD.L SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All weather was 24.47%, occurring on Oct 24, 2022. Recovery took 663 trading sessions.
The current All weather drawdown is 1.47%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -24.47%Oct 2022 | 11mo 18d | 2y 7mo | 3y 7moNov 2021 - Jun 2025 |
COVID crash2020 | -15.53%Mar 2020 | 9d | 2mo 21d | 3moMar 2020 - Jun 2020 |
2019 pullback2019 | -8.45%Mar 2019 | 9d | 5mo 11d | 5mo 20dFeb 2019 - Aug 2019 |
2026 pullback2026 | -5.52%Mar 2026 | 25d | 2mo 3d | 2mo 28dMar 2026 - May 2026 |
2020 pullback2020 | -5.05%Oct 2020 | 1mo 27d | 1mo 16d | 3mo 13dSep 2020 - Dec 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.52 | 1.42 | 1.48 | 1.56 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.56, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
All weather correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.53 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.43 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.43 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 26, 2019 | 0.40 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SWLD.L has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.65, while IBTL.L has the lowest at 0.00.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what All weather is missing
See which holdings overlap, where All weather is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification