Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 50% | |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 20% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 8% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | 7.50% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 7.50% |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | Technology | 7% |
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Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in keep it simple stupid, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 16, 2026, the keep it simple stupid returned -6.23% Year-To-Date and 65.82% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio keep it simple stupid | 2.16% | -9.38% | -6.23% | -3.61% | -4.70% | 48.23% | 30.14% | 65.82% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 3.13% | -6.86% | 6.59% | 10.55% | 15.99% | 25.16% | 7.58% | 21.42% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 3.11% | -7.35% | 14.06% | 16.39% | 59.68% | 67.77% | 56.37% | 41.61% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.77% | -15.23% | -24.33% | -23.38% | -37.30% | 35.99% | 11.54% | 56.48% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 1.66% | -6.15% | -12.89% | -12.90% | -32.62% | 23.65% | 10.65% | 24.08% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 3.54% | -5.60% | 14.05% | 20.66% | 49.84% | 70.84% | 64.29% | 68.59% |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 4.12% | 9.42% | 46.00% | 54.19% | 111.37% | 63.90% | 32.42% | 36.20% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 30, 2012, keep it simple stupid's average daily return is +0.20%, while the average monthly return is +7.20%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +277.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -33.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, keep it simple stupid closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +37.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -25.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.81% | -7.68% | -0.94% | 14.71% | 0.21% | -6.30% | -6.23% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.23% | -11.23% | -6.60% | 9.78% | 14.63% | 8.19% | 6.99% | -3.80% | 6.15% | 1.61% | -11.02% | -2.45% | 13.38% |
| 2024 | 7.55% | 30.43% | 12.40% | -9.43% | 13.22% | 3.77% | -0.53% | -3.39% | 5.08% | 8.32% | 21.27% | 0.88% | 124.52% |
| 2023 | 31.97% | 2.34% | 18.57% | 0.32% | 9.52% | 10.38% | 0.47% | -4.06% | -4.14% | 14.12% | 10.66% | 10.10% | 149.48% |
| 2022 | -15.45% | 4.56% | 5.83% | -22.29% | -7.51% | -25.77% | 17.82% | -11.79% | -7.61% | 5.83% | 0.75% | -6.80% | -52.37% |
| 2021 | 7.86% | 20.81% | 17.48% | 2.27% | -15.41% | 5.53% | 8.11% | 11.32% | -5.74% | 27.10% | 1.50% | -11.28% | 81.47% |
Benchmark Metrics
keep it simple stupid has an annualized alpha of 64.14%, beta of 1.06, and R2 of 0.16 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 30, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 348.59% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 85.31% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.16 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 64.14%
- Beta
- 1.06
- R²
- 0.16
- Upside Capture
- 348.59%
- Downside Capture
- 85.31%
Expense Ratio
keep it simple stupid has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
keep it simple stupid ranks 4 for risk / return — in the bottom 4% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for keep it simple stupid and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.17 | 2.14 | -2.30 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.04 | 2.89 | -2.93 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.00 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.15 | 2.91 | -3.07 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.30 | 13.08 | -13.39 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 57 | 0.53 | 0.94 | 1.12 | 0.74 | 1.74 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 76 | 1.32 | 1.89 | 1.25 | 2.09 | 4.85 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.87 | -1.17 | 0.88 | -0.73 | -1.26 |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 9 | -0.99 | -1.38 | 0.82 | -0.76 | -1.29 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 78 | 1.43 | 2.00 | 1.24 | 2.48 | 5.89 |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 94 | 3.04 | 3.59 | 1.44 | 6.17 | 21.87 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
keep it simple stupid provided a 0.13% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.13% | 0.13% | 0.16% | 0.27% | 0.44% | 0.30% | 0.38% | 0.58% | 0.60% | 0.37% | 0.39% | 0.51% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.63% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 0.80% | 1.00% | 1.18% | 1.78% | 2.49% | 1.57% | 1.56% | 3.46% | 3.64% | 2.32% | 2.61% | 2.54% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the keep it simple stupid. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the keep it simple stupid was 63.73%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 425 trading sessions.
The current keep it simple stupid drawdown is 21.70%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -63.73%Nov 2022 | 1y | 1y 2mo | 2y 2moNov 2021 - Jan 2024 |
2015 bear market2015 | -60.67%Jan 2015 | 1y 1mo | 1y 4mo | 2y 6moDec 2013 - Jun 2016 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -59.64%Dec 2018 | 12mo 3d | 6mo 13d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
2013 bear market2013 | -49.96%Apr 2013 | 6d | 6mo 9d | 6mo 15dApr 2013 - Oct 2013 |
COVID crash2020 | -41.42%Mar 2020 | 1mo | 1mo 22d | 2mo 22dFeb 2020 - May 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.20, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.34, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
keep it simple stupid correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.71 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.50 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 30, 2012 | 0.43 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AVGO has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.64, while BTC-USD has the lowest at 0.16.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what keep it simple stupid is missing
See which holdings overlap, where keep it simple stupid is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification