Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | Technology | 16% |
MC Moelis & Company | Financial Services | 16% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 14% |
CG The Carlyle Group Inc. | Financial Services | 10% |
MA Mastercard Incorporated | Financial Services | 10% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 10% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | Industrials | 8% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | Technology | 6% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | Communication Services | 5% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 5% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ideal portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the Ideal portfolio returned 7.52% Year-To-Date and 24.76% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.17% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 22.93% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Ideal portfolio | -0.68% | 1.42% | 7.52% | 6.82% | 19.11% | 24.03% | 15.68% | 24.76% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | -1.23% | -11.69% | 3.35% | 5.46% | 11.87% | 23.49% | 7.35% | 20.83% |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | -1.89% | 17.83% | 74.80% | 73.02% | 138.89% | 37.59% | 22.97% | 36.00% |
CG The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.69% | -6.25% | -21.53% | -20.51% | -1.61% | 18.18% | 3.96% | 16.61% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.68% | -4.91% | 14.24% | 11.38% | -1.48% | 25.12% | 22.12% | 22.27% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | -0.52% | 10.76% | -30.25% | -36.09% | -33.92% | 13.73% | 18.49% | 26.62% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | -1.52% | 4.60% | 13.04% | 13.84% | 18.25% | 8.98% | 9.78% | 11.37% |
MA Mastercard Incorporated | 0.71% | -0.13% | -13.89% | -14.05% | -16.36% | 10.32% | 6.66% | 18.64% |
MC Moelis & Company | -1.78% | 5.67% | 0.47% | -0.98% | 19.57% | 19.10% | 10.06% | 18.82% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | -0.26% | -8.05% | -14.03% | -11.84% | -17.97% | 28.18% | 11.52% | 17.39% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.10% | -3.36% | -18.85% | -17.98% | -17.75% | 6.16% | 9.56% | 24.39% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 16, 2014, Ideal portfolio's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.91%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.1 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Jul 2022 with a return of +15.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -13.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Ideal portfolio closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +11.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -10.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.43% | -4.95% | -6.29% | 7.75% | 3.61% | -0.29% | 7.52% | ||||||
| 2025 | 5.64% | -4.12% | -9.12% | -1.07% | 8.12% | 5.47% | 0.77% | 3.09% | 3.45% | -0.60% | -0.33% | 1.59% | 12.32% |
| 2024 | 3.85% | 8.25% | 1.92% | -6.66% | 6.61% | 4.04% | 5.25% | -0.86% | 2.55% | -2.62% | 8.59% | -2.65% | 30.65% |
| 2023 | 15.59% | -3.50% | 3.17% | 0.47% | 4.46% | 8.21% | 3.45% | -1.53% | -5.28% | -0.73% | 12.91% | 9.60% | 54.93% |
| 2022 | -5.52% | -4.15% | 2.45% | -12.29% | 0.98% | -11.28% | 15.79% | -7.87% | -13.62% | 9.62% | 10.68% | -7.69% | -24.77% |
| 2021 | -0.73% | 3.01% | 6.06% | 6.79% | 0.06% | 4.15% | 4.92% | 1.87% | -4.99% | 7.48% | -2.30% | 3.44% | 33.13% |
Benchmark Metrics
Ideal portfolio has an annualized alpha of 8.96%, beta of 1.14, and R2 of 0.83 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 16, 2014.
- This portfolio captured 154.01% of S&P 500 Index gains and 106.97% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.96% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.14 and R2 of 0.83, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 8.96%
- Beta
- 1.14
- R²
- 0.83
- Upside Capture
- 154.01%
- Downside Capture
- 106.97%
Expense Ratio
Ideal portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Ideal portfolio ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Ideal portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.07 | 1.86 | -0.79 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.60 | 2.53 | -0.93 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.34 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.31 | 2.53 | -1.23 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.15 | 11.37 | -7.22 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 54 | 0.40 | 0.76 | 1.09 | 0.55 | 1.29 |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 95 | 3.27 | 3.70 | 1.45 | 7.83 | 21.08 |
CG The Carlyle Group Inc. | 39 | -0.04 | 0.19 | 1.02 | -0.04 | -0.08 |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 37 | -0.08 | 0.02 | 1.00 | -0.10 | -0.22 |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 16 | -0.67 | -0.76 | 0.90 | -0.65 | -1.24 |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 60 | 0.69 | 1.05 | 1.14 | 0.73 | 1.69 |
MA Mastercard Incorporated | 11 | -0.74 | -0.91 | 0.89 | -0.79 | -1.59 |
MC Moelis & Company | 57 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 0.59 | 1.41 |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 21 | -0.51 | -0.54 | 0.93 | -0.54 | -1.12 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 17 | -0.70 | -0.84 | 0.89 | -0.53 | -1.08 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Ideal portfolio provided a 1.38% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.38% | 1.38% | 1.31% | 1.75% | 1.99% | 2.38% | 2.47% | 2.65% | 3.71% | 2.28% | 3.32% | 3.65% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 0.47% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 0.86% | 1.27% | 0.50% | 0.50% | 1.40% | 0.94% | 0.64% | 0.92% | 0.73% |
CG The Carlyle Group Inc. | 3.06% | 2.37% | 2.77% | 3.38% | 4.11% | 1.82% | 3.18% | 4.24% | 7.87% | 5.41% | 11.02% | 21.70% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.55% | 0.59% | 0.49% | 2.87% | 0.76% | 0.54% | 3.38% | 0.86% | 1.08% | 4.81% | 1.09% | 4.06% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.08% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 2.53% | 2.76% | 2.62% | 2.68% | 2.34% | 2.98% | 2.76% | 2.31% | 3.13% | 2.32% | 2.71% | 2.83% |
MA Mastercard Incorporated | 0.67% | 0.53% | 0.50% | 0.53% | 0.56% | 0.49% | 0.45% | 0.44% | 0.53% | 0.58% | 0.74% | 0.66% |
MC Moelis & Company | 3.84% | 3.78% | 3.25% | 4.28% | 6.25% | 10.88% | 8.88% | 10.18% | 14.19% | 5.11% | 9.71% | 3.43% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.37% | 0.32% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.91% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ideal portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ideal portfolio was 35.91%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 275 trading sessions.
The current Ideal portfolio drawdown is 2.01%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -35.91%Oct 2022 | 11mo 1d | 1y 1mo | 2yNov 2021 - Nov 2023 |
COVID crash2020 | -30.28%Mar 2020 | 27d | 2mo 17d | 3mo 14dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -29.01%Dec 2018 | 5mo 1d | 4mo 6d | 9mo 7dJul 2018 - Apr 2019 |
2025 selloff2025 | -22.85%Apr 2025 | 2mo | 3mo 7d | 5mo 7dFeb 2025 - Jul 2025 |
2016 correction2016 | -16.47%Feb 2016 | 3mo 4d | 1mo 20d | 4mo 24dNov 2015 - Apr 2016 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.64, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.82 | 1.58 | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.45 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.45, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Ideal portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.88 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 16, 2014 | 0.87 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. MSFT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.72, while LMT has the lowest at 0.37.
Asset Correlations Table
| LMT | COST | MC | CG | FICO | META | ASML | AMZN | MA | MSFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| COST | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| MC | 0.20 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| CG | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| FICO | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| META | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| ASML | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| AMZN | 0.13 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| MA | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| MSFT | 0.21 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 1.00 |
Find what Ideal portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Ideal portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification