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Two Fund Strategy
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Two Fund Strategy, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the Two Fund Strategy returned 7.09% Year-To-Date and 11.14% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
1.65%1.97%10.35%10.82%26.39%19.66%12.33%13.81%
Portfolio
Two Fund Strategy
0.33%1.06%7.09%7.45%19.88%15.69%8.64%11.14%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
-0.10%1.08%0.32%0.76%4.79%4.19%0.03%1.54%
VTSAX
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.50%1.05%9.65%9.97%26.30%20.61%12.20%15.01%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 12, 2001, Two Fund Strategy's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.73%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.9 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +9.8%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Two Fund Strategy closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +7.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -7.8%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.17%0.09%-3.94%7.33%3.83%-1.23%7.09%
20252.35%-0.73%-4.09%-0.34%4.21%4.07%1.51%1.95%2.76%1.72%0.39%-0.10%14.27%
20240.42%3.38%2.53%-3.82%3.81%2.49%1.98%1.92%1.83%-1.26%5.01%-2.65%16.36%
20235.79%-2.39%2.61%0.90%-0.03%4.71%2.49%-1.54%-4.11%-2.31%7.90%5.15%20.03%
2022-4.87%-2.11%1.36%-7.44%0.00%-6.22%7.25%-3.45%-7.79%5.28%4.80%-4.38%-17.48%
2021-0.51%1.79%2.07%3.89%0.38%2.03%1.57%1.95%-3.43%4.68%-0.96%2.59%16.99%

Benchmark Metrics

Two Fund Strategy has an annualized alpha of 2.60%, beta of 0.68, and R2 of 0.98 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 12, 2001.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (76.21%) than losses (71.61%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.60% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.68 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
2.60%
Beta
0.68
0.98
Upside Capture
76.21%
Downside Capture
71.61%

Expense Ratio

Two Fund Strategy has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Two Fund Strategy ranks 58 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Two Fund Strategy Risk / Return Rank: 5858
Overall Rank
Two Fund Strategy Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5454
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Two Fund Strategy Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
Two Fund Strategy Omega Ratio Rank: 5656
Omega Ratio Rank
Two Fund Strategy Calmar Ratio Rank: 5757
Calmar Ratio Rank
Two Fund Strategy Martin Ratio Rank: 6868
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Two Fund Strategy and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.01

2.14

-0.13

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.81

2.89

-0.08

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.37

1.39

-0.02

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.91

2.91

0.00

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.22

13.08

+0.13


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
20
1.121.691.201.514.37
VTSAX
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
65
1.962.671.352.7912.56

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current Two Fund Strategy Sharpe ratio is 2.01 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.56 to 2.44, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Two Fund Strategy compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Two Fund Strategy provided a 1.91% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.91%1.94%1.99%1.93%1.94%1.43%1.71%2.06%2.20%1.96%2.10%2.23%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.99%3.87%3.69%3.10%2.59%1.96%2.39%2.74%2.57%2.56%2.53%2.82%
VTSAX
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.02%1.11%1.26%1.42%1.65%1.20%1.41%1.76%2.03%1.71%1.92%1.98%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Two Fund Strategy. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Two Fund Strategy was 40.77%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 452 trading sessions.

The current Two Fund Strategy drawdown is 1.88%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Financial crisis2007–2009
-40.77%Mar 2009
1y 5mo1y 9mo
3y 2moOct 2007 - Dec 2010
COVID crash2020
-25.02%Mar 2020
1mo 2d4mo
5mo 2dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020
Bear market2022
-22.44%Oct 2022
9mo 20d1y 3mo
2y 1moDec 2021 - Jan 2024
Dot-com crash2000–2002
-21.83%Oct 2002
6mo 23d12mo 3d
1y 6moMar 2002 - Oct 2003
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-13.71%Dec 2018
3mo 4d2mo 27d
6mo 1dSep 2018 - Mar 2019

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.08

1.11

1.11

1.11

1.11

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.11, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

Two Fund Strategy correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Two Fund Strategy has a 0.99 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.99

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.98

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.98

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 12, 2001

0.99


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTSAX has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while VBTLX has the lowest at -0.19.

VBTLX
-0.19
VTSAX
0.99

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Two Fund Strategy. VTSAX has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.99, while VBTLX has the lowest at -0.08.

VBTLX
-0.08
VTSAX
0.99

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

VBTLXVTSAX
VBTLX1.00-0.18
VTSAX-0.181.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 12, 2001
Diversification Analysis

Find what Two Fund Strategy is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Two Fund Strategy is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification