Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | Systematic Trend | 64% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 32% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 4% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Powers of 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's Powers of 2 returned 27.90% Year-To-Date and 21.74% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's Powers of 2 | -7.31% | -2.08% | 27.90% | 27.24% | 56.95% | 22.48% | 17.69% | 21.74% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | -0.78% | 0.91% | 14.34% | 16.70% | 25.15% | -1.76% | 2.68% | 2.90% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | -14.28% | -4.23% | 38.79% | 30.51% | 98.25% | 60.11% | 24.09% | 42.84% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -7.30% | -17.17% | -7.82% | -3.83% | 46.42% | 49.47% | 25.50% | 17.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 4, 2010, Rick's Powers of 2's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.76%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.3 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +21.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2018 at -12.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's Powers of 2 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -8.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.24% | 0.84% | -5.90% | 21.41% | 13.80% | -6.42% | 27.90% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.53% | -5.00% | -9.15% | -7.28% | 7.90% | 7.57% | 1.51% | 2.08% | 8.44% | 4.96% | -1.27% | 0.49% | 11.43% |
| 2024 | 1.07% | 7.72% | 3.66% | -2.65% | 4.62% | 3.49% | -3.11% | -3.69% | 3.30% | -4.06% | 5.72% | 0.16% | 16.48% |
| 2023 | 10.24% | -0.73% | 4.89% | 1.10% | 8.06% | 7.57% | 3.16% | -3.55% | -3.76% | -1.68% | 6.07% | 5.91% | 42.68% |
| 2022 | -6.52% | -1.12% | 10.57% | -5.35% | -3.08% | -0.78% | 8.41% | -4.09% | -5.92% | 2.03% | 0.41% | -9.84% | -15.94% |
| 2021 | -0.68% | 1.76% | 1.32% | 7.70% | 0.19% | 4.77% | 3.20% | 3.70% | -7.57% | 10.57% | -2.65% | 2.49% | 26.34% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's Powers of 2 has an annualized alpha of 7.87%, beta of 1.05, and R2 of 0.68 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 04, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 141.47% of S&P 500 Index gains and 106.12% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 7.87% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.05 and R2 of 0.68, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 7.87%
- Beta
- 1.05
- R²
- 0.68
- Upside Capture
- 141.47%
- Downside Capture
- 106.12%
Expense Ratio
Rick's Powers of 2 has a high expense ratio of 1.28%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's Powers of 2 ranks 65 for risk / return — better than 65% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's Powers of 2 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.63 | 2.01 | +0.63 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.12 | 2.71 | +0.41 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.36 | +0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.65 | 2.69 | +1.97 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 16.15 | 12.34 | +3.81 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 67 | 2.13 | 2.84 | 1.38 | 4.79 | 17.23 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 61 | 2.10 | 2.41 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 9.20 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 25 | 0.80 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 2.56 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's Powers of 2 provided a 0.99% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.99% | 1.18% | 1.34% | 1.04% | 20.97% | 3.88% | 2.18% | 3.55% | 0.87% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 3.24% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 1.33% | 1.52% | 1.46% | 0.99% | 32.48% | 6.07% | 3.40% | 5.51% | 1.30% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 5.06% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.43% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Powers of 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Powers of 2 was 32.52%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 124 trading sessions.
The current Rick's Powers of 2 drawdown is 8.73%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -32.52%Apr 2025 | 9mo 1d | 6mo 1d | 1y 2moJul 2024 - Oct 2025 |
COVID crash2020 | -25.70%Mar 2020 | 25d | 2mo 26d | 3mo 21dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -25.21%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 5mo 28d | 1y 4moJan 2018 - Jun 2019 |
2023 bear market2023 | -23.70%Jan 2023 | 4mo 22d | 4mo 28d | 9mo 20dAug 2022 - Jun 2023 |
2020 correction2020 | -18.70%Sep 2020 | 20d | 2mo 25d | 3mo 15dSep 2020 - Dec 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.95, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.30 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.30, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Rick's Powers of 2 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 4, 2010 | 0.85 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TQQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while UGL has the lowest at 0.04.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick's Powers of 2 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's Powers of 2 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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