Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | Systematic Trend | 64% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 32% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 4% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Powers of 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 3, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of ASFYX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Rick's Powers of 2 returned 0.21% Year-To-Date and 18.61% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Rick's Powers of 2 | -0.09% | -1.80% | 0.21% | 3.22% | 23.95% | 17.65% | 13.57% | 18.61% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 0.00% | 1.23% | 6.72% | 10.64% | 3.03% | -2.85% | 2.28% | 1.88% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -3.94% | -17.59% | 9.85% | 32.96% | 88.49% | 56.26% | 34.59% | 20.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 4, 2010, Rick's Powers of 2's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.63%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.6 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +15.1%, while the worst month was Oct 2018 at -12.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's Powers of 2 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -8.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.24% | 0.84% | -5.90% | 1.31% | 0.21% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.53% | -5.00% | -9.15% | -7.28% | 7.90% | 7.57% | 1.51% | 2.08% | 8.44% | 4.96% | -1.27% | 0.49% | 11.43% |
| 2024 | 1.07% | 7.72% | 3.66% | -2.65% | 4.62% | 3.49% | -3.11% | -3.69% | 3.30% | -4.06% | 5.72% | 0.16% | 16.48% |
| 2023 | 10.24% | -0.73% | 4.89% | 1.10% | 8.06% | 7.57% | 3.16% | -3.55% | -3.76% | -1.68% | 6.07% | 5.91% | 42.68% |
| 2022 | -6.52% | -1.12% | 10.57% | -5.35% | -3.08% | -0.78% | 8.41% | -4.09% | -5.92% | 2.03% | 0.41% | -9.84% | -15.94% |
| 2021 | -0.68% | 1.76% | 1.32% | 7.70% | 0.19% | 4.77% | 3.20% | 3.70% | -7.57% | 10.57% | -2.65% | 2.49% | 26.34% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's Powers of 2 has an annualized alpha of 7.14%, beta of 1.04, and R² of 0.68 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 04, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 137.00% of S&P 500 Index gains and 104.77% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 7.14% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.04 and R² of 0.68, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 7.14%
- Beta
- 1.04
- R²
- 0.68
- Upside Capture
- 137.00%
- Downside Capture
- 104.77%
Expense Ratio
Rick's Powers of 2 has a high expense ratio of 1.28%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's Powers of 2 ranks 22 for risk / return — below 22% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.95 | 0.88 | +0.07 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.36 | 1.37 | -0.01 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.01 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.36 | 1.39 | -0.03 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.84 | 6.43 | -1.59 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 7 | 0.25 | 0.40 | 1.06 | 0.26 | 0.43 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 74 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.29 | 2.40 | 8.01 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's Powers of 2 provided a 1.14% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.14% | 1.18% | 1.34% | 1.04% | 20.97% | 3.88% | 2.18% | 3.55% | 0.87% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 3.24% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 1.42% | 1.52% | 1.46% | 0.99% | 32.48% | 6.07% | 3.40% | 5.51% | 1.30% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 5.06% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Powers of 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Powers of 2 was 32.52%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 124 trading sessions.
The current Rick's Powers of 2 drawdown is 8.33%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -32.52% | Jul 11, 2024 | 187 | Apr 8, 2025 | 124 | Oct 6, 2025 | 311 |
| -25.7% | Feb 20, 2020 | 18 | Mar 16, 2020 | 60 | Jun 10, 2020 | 78 |
| -25.21% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 122 | Jun 20, 2019 | 351 |
| -23.7% | Aug 16, 2022 | 99 | Jan 5, 2023 | 102 | Jun 2, 2023 | 201 |
| -18.7% | Sep 3, 2020 | 14 | Sep 23, 2020 | 60 | Dec 17, 2020 | 74 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.95, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UGL | ASFYX | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.90 | 0.84 |
| UGL | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| ASFYX | 0.21 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.51 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Portfolio | 0.84 | 0.12 | 0.51 | 0.92 | 1.00 |