Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 50% | |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 25% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | Technology Equities | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in an oversimplified but good portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the an oversimplified but good portfolio returned -14.62% Year-To-Date and 70.00% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio an oversimplified but good portfolio | -0.52% | -2.09% | -14.62% | -26.86% | 9.89% | 46.42% | 25.33% | 70.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.85% | -1.42% | -5.36% | -5.79% | 29.79% | 23.50% | 15.02% | 21.67% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, an oversimplified but good portfolio's average daily return is +0.20%, while the average monthly return is +7.11%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +281.2%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -34.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, an oversimplified but good portfolio closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +37.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -25.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.62% | -9.69% | -0.79% | -0.08% | -14.62% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.11% | -9.46% | -6.72% | 7.54% | 13.93% | 7.71% | 8.17% | -3.52% | 6.27% | 1.77% | -12.96% | 0.13% | 11.94% |
| 2024 | 6.87% | 30.09% | 12.90% | -10.05% | 14.55% | 2.59% | -0.10% | -3.85% | 4.75% | 7.53% | 21.62% | -2.60% | 112.68% |
| 2023 | 30.79% | 4.96% | 19.38% | 1.26% | 7.53% | 10.26% | 1.39% | -4.26% | -3.62% | 12.30% | 11.05% | 9.12% | 150.49% |
| 2022 | -14.48% | 4.62% | 6.44% | -19.64% | -8.25% | -24.52% | 16.60% | -12.70% | -9.34% | 7.39% | -0.04% | -8.09% | -51.75% |
| 2021 | 6.88% | 21.21% | 18.27% | 3.63% | -14.65% | 7.74% | 9.29% | 11.43% | -6.97% | 28.23% | 3.23% | -11.97% | 92.76% |
Benchmark Metrics
an oversimplified but good portfolio has an annualized alpha of 65.24%, beta of 1.08, and R² of 0.16 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 364.16% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 90.08% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.16 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 65.24%
- Beta
- 1.08
- R²
- 0.16
- Upside Capture
- 364.16%
- Downside Capture
- 90.08%
Expense Ratio
an oversimplified but good portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.02%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
an oversimplified but good portfolio ranks 4 for risk / return — in the bottom 4% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.31 | 0.88 | -0.57 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.68 | 1.37 | -0.69 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.08 | 1.21 | -0.13 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.02 | 1.39 | -2.41 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.99 | 6.43 | -8.42 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 58 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 1.23 | 1.88 | 5.72 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
an oversimplified but good portfolio provided a 0.11% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.11% | 0.11% | 0.16% | 0.17% | 0.26% | 0.17% | 0.24% | 0.35% | 0.44% | 0.32% | 0.44% | 0.62% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.43% | 0.40% | 0.60% | 0.65% | 0.91% | 0.64% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.29% | 0.99% | 1.31% | 1.28% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the an oversimplified but good portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the an oversimplified but good portfolio was 62.46%, occurring on Dec 15, 2018. Recovery took 418 trading sessions.
The current an oversimplified but good portfolio drawdown is 27.32%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -62.46% | Dec 17, 2017 | 364 | Dec 15, 2018 | 418 | Feb 6, 2020 | 782 |
| -62.29% | Nov 9, 2021 | 366 | Nov 9, 2022 | 407 | Dec 21, 2023 | 773 |
| -60.76% | Dec 5, 2013 | 406 | Jan 14, 2015 | 516 | Jun 13, 2016 | 922 |
| -49.97% | Apr 10, 2013 | 7 | Apr 16, 2013 | 189 | Oct 23, 2013 | 196 |
| -42.22% | Feb 15, 2020 | 31 | Mar 16, 2020 | 63 | May 18, 2020 | 94 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.67, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BTC-USD | NVDA | VGT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 0.43 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.90 |
| NVDA | 0.61 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.44 |
| VGT | 0.89 | 0.13 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.41 |
| Portfolio | 0.43 | 0.90 | 0.44 | 0.41 | 1.00 |