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Rick's 1-2-3-4
Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


ASFYX 40%UGL 10%UUP 30%TQQQ 20%AlternativesAlternativesCommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorWeight
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
Systematic Trend
40%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Leveraged Equities, Leveraged
20%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Leveraged Commodities, Leveraged, Gold
10%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Currency
30%

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 1-2-3-4, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Quarterly


-5.00%0.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
6.32%
14.34%
Rick's 1-2-3-4
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 30, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of ASFYX

Returns By Period

As of Dec 4, 2024, the Rick's 1-2-3-4 returned 18.57% Year-To-Date and 14.01% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


YTD1M6M1Y5Y (annualized)10Y (annualized)
^GSPC
S&P 500
26.84%5.60%14.34%32.39%14.23%11.32%
Rick's 1-2-3-418.57%4.13%6.32%23.82%18.48%14.01%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
65.88%17.31%31.74%96.53%35.73%35.04%
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
-3.07%1.96%-9.15%-2.65%7.15%3.11%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
10.82%2.39%5.22%8.89%4.27%3.45%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
48.86%-7.46%22.34%53.03%15.42%9.30%

Monthly Returns

The table below presents the monthly returns of Rick's 1-2-3-4, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20241.22%5.10%3.80%-0.60%2.67%2.57%-1.59%-2.51%2.81%-0.84%3.60%18.57%
20236.92%-0.42%3.66%0.63%5.74%4.24%2.12%-1.84%-2.25%0.33%3.32%3.42%28.60%
2022-4.07%0.29%7.02%-2.20%-2.80%0.14%5.18%-2.21%-3.03%0.83%0.06%-6.32%-7.60%
2021-0.74%0.33%1.48%4.72%0.94%2.49%2.28%2.45%-4.85%6.73%-1.34%1.99%17.24%
20202.90%-3.41%-4.15%10.29%4.08%4.45%7.32%8.05%-7.24%-2.32%6.03%5.86%34.70%
20194.77%2.03%4.97%4.91%-5.15%5.92%2.84%2.81%-1.21%1.22%2.34%2.68%31.37%
20187.70%-5.19%-3.50%0.00%3.40%0.22%1.02%5.32%-2.20%-6.73%-1.17%-2.00%-4.02%
20173.33%4.85%0.41%1.21%1.87%-3.65%3.28%2.49%-1.05%4.83%1.07%0.70%20.77%
2016-0.39%1.93%0.99%-2.53%1.00%1.85%5.42%-1.28%-0.27%-2.39%-0.58%0.80%4.39%
20154.87%3.39%-0.20%-1.61%1.34%-4.63%2.95%-5.31%-1.00%7.95%0.90%-3.41%4.47%
2014-1.41%4.18%-2.54%0.22%3.88%3.42%0.83%5.69%-0.29%0.72%6.19%0.20%22.74%
20131.42%0.11%3.40%2.03%0.22%-4.01%5.37%0.09%2.13%4.51%1.82%1.93%20.39%

Expense Ratio

Rick's 1-2-3-4 has a high expense ratio of 1.10%, indicating higher-than-average management fees. Below you can find the expense ratios of portfolio funds side-by-side and effortlessly compare their relative costs.


Expense ratio chart for ASFYX: current value at 1.47% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%1.47%
Expense ratio chart for TQQQ: current value at 0.95% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.95%
Expense ratio chart for UGL: current value at 0.95% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.95%
Expense ratio chart for UUP: current value at 0.75% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.75%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank

The current rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 16, indicating that it is in the bottom 16% of portfolios on our website in terms of risk-adjusted performance. This ranking is based on the combined values of the indicators listed below.


The Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 1616
Overall Rank
The Sharpe Ratio Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 1818
Sharpe Ratio Rank
The Sortino Ratio Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
The Omega Ratio Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 1818
Omega Ratio Rank
The Calmar Ratio Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 2020
Calmar Ratio Rank
The Martin Ratio Rank of Rick's 1-2-3-4 is 1111
Martin Ratio Rank
The risk-adjusted ranks indicate the investment's position relative to the market. A rank closer to 100 signifies top-performing investments, while a rank closer to 0 might suggest underperformance, based on the selected ratio. The values are calculated based on the past 12 months of returns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


Sharpe ratio
The chart of Sharpe ratio for Rick's 1-2-3-4, currently valued at 1.62, compared to the broader market0.002.004.006.001.622.59
The chart of Sortino ratio for Rick's 1-2-3-4, currently valued at 2.11, compared to the broader market-2.000.002.004.006.002.113.45
The chart of Omega ratio for Rick's 1-2-3-4, currently valued at 1.29, compared to the broader market0.801.001.201.401.601.802.001.291.48
The chart of Calmar ratio for Rick's 1-2-3-4, currently valued at 1.67, compared to the broader market0.005.0010.0015.001.673.73
The chart of Martin ratio for Rick's 1-2-3-4, currently valued at 5.20, compared to the broader market0.0010.0020.0030.0040.0050.005.2016.58
Rick's 1-2-3-4
^GSPC

Portfolio components
Sharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
1.752.161.291.787.27
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
-0.23-0.230.97-0.11-0.32
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
1.552.311.281.645.95
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
1.552.031.260.908.35

The current Rick's 1-2-3-4 Sharpe ratio is 1.62. This value is calculated based on the past 1 year of trading data and takes into account price changes and dividends.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.87 to 2.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests that it may not be performing as well in terms of risk-adjusted returns compared to many other portfolios. The lower performance could be due to either lower returns, higher volatility, or a combination of both. This might indicate that the portfolio requires some fine-tuning. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to find an allocation that maximizes the Sharpe ratio.

Use the chart below to compare the Sharpe ratio of Rick's 1-2-3-4 with the selected benchmark, providing insights into the investment's historical performance in terms of risk-adjusted returns. Go to the Sharpe ratio tool for more fine-grained control over the calculation options.


Rolling 12-month Sharpe Ratio1.001.502.002.503.003.50JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
1.62
2.59
Rick's 1-2-3-4
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's 1-2-3-4 provided a 2.38% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
Portfolio2.38%2.58%13.37%2.43%1.36%2.83%0.87%0.06%0.00%2.03%5.46%0.00%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
1.14%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.03%0.00%
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
1.02%0.98%32.48%6.07%3.40%5.51%1.30%0.07%0.01%5.06%13.64%0.00%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
5.82%6.45%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


-14.00%-12.00%-10.00%-8.00%-6.00%-4.00%-2.00%0.00%JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
-1.58%
0
Rick's 1-2-3-4
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 1-2-3-4. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 1-2-3-4 was 18.02%, occurring on Mar 16, 2020. Recovery took 60 trading sessions.

The current Rick's 1-2-3-4 drawdown is 1.58%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-18.02%Feb 20, 202018Mar 16, 202060Jun 10, 202078
-15.46%Aug 16, 202294Dec 28, 2022103May 26, 2023197
-13.95%Jan 29, 2018229Dec 24, 201870Apr 5, 2019299
-13.46%Jul 11, 202420Aug 7, 2024
-13.1%Sep 3, 202014Sep 23, 202073Jan 7, 202187

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The current Rick's 1-2-3-4 volatility is 3.98%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
3.98%
3.39%
Rick's 1-2-3-4
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Diversification

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

ASFYXTQQQUGLUUP
ASFYX1.000.180.060.07
TQQQ0.181.000.03-0.17
UGL0.060.031.00-0.44
UUP0.07-0.17-0.441.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 2, 2010
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Disclaimer

The information contained herein does not constitute investment advice and made available for educational purposes only. Prices and returns on equities are listed without consideration of fees, commissions, taxes, penalties, or interest payable due to purchasing, holding, or selling.

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