Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | Systematic Trend | 40% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 30% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 20% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 1-2-3-4, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's 1-2-3-4 returned 18.64% Year-To-Date and 16.68% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's 1-2-3-4 | -5.44% | -1.99% | 18.64% | 18.55% | 40.99% | 19.70% | 15.66% | 16.68% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | -0.78% | 0.91% | 14.34% | 16.70% | 25.15% | -1.76% | 2.68% | 2.90% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | -14.28% | -4.23% | 38.79% | 30.51% | 98.25% | 60.11% | 24.09% | 42.84% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -7.30% | -17.17% | -7.82% | -3.83% | 46.42% | 49.47% | 25.50% | 17.75% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.65% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 3.19% | 5.60% | 4.04% | 6.04% | 3.28% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 4, 2010, Rick's 1-2-3-4's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.25%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.6 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +12.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2020 at -7.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's 1-2-3-4 closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -5.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.10% | 2.24% | -5.08% | 12.78% | 9.40% | -4.83% | 18.64% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.64% | -3.02% | -4.86% | -5.02% | 4.73% | 4.10% | 1.94% | 1.51% | 7.20% | 4.29% | -0.01% | 0.34% | 13.82% |
| 2024 | 1.22% | 5.10% | 3.80% | -0.60% | 2.67% | 2.57% | -1.59% | -2.51% | 2.81% | -0.84% | 3.60% | 0.80% | 18.07% |
| 2023 | 6.92% | -0.42% | 3.66% | 0.63% | 5.74% | 4.24% | 2.12% | -1.84% | -2.25% | 0.33% | 3.32% | 3.43% | 28.60% |
| 2022 | -4.06% | 0.29% | 7.02% | -2.20% | -2.80% | 0.14% | 5.18% | -2.21% | -3.03% | 0.83% | 0.06% | -6.35% | -7.63% |
| 2021 | -0.74% | 0.33% | 1.48% | 4.72% | 0.94% | 2.49% | 2.28% | 2.45% | -4.85% | 6.73% | -1.34% | 1.99% | 17.23% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's 1-2-3-4 has an annualized alpha of 6.93%, beta of 0.64, and R2 of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 04, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (82.37%) than losses (60.65%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.93% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.64 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.93%
- Beta
- 0.64
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 82.37%
- Downside Capture
- 60.65%
Expense Ratio
Rick's 1-2-3-4 has a high expense ratio of 1.10%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's 1-2-3-4 ranks 64 for risk / return — better than 64% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's 1-2-3-4 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.57 | 2.01 | +0.56 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.10 | 2.71 | +0.38 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.47 | 1.36 | +0.10 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.23 | 2.69 | +1.54 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 15.15 | 12.34 | +2.80 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 67 | 2.13 | 2.84 | 1.38 | 4.79 | 17.23 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 61 | 2.10 | 2.41 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 9.20 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 25 | 0.80 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 2.56 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 32 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 1.69 | 4.49 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's 1-2-3-4 provided a 1.61% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.61% | 1.77% | 2.18% | 2.58% | 13.37% | 2.43% | 1.36% | 2.83% | 0.87% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 2.03% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 1.33% | 1.52% | 1.46% | 0.99% | 32.48% | 6.07% | 3.40% | 5.51% | 1.30% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 5.06% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.43% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.31% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 1-2-3-4. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 1-2-3-4 was 20.73%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 109 trading sessions.
The current Rick's 1-2-3-4 drawdown is 6.43%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -20.73%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 5mo 10d | 6mo 28dFeb 2025 - Sep 2025 |
COVID crash2020 | -18.02%Mar 2020 | 25d | 2mo 26d | 3mo 21dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -15.46%Dec 2022 | 4mo 14d | 4mo 29d | 9mo 13dAug 2022 - May 2023 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -14.23%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 3mo 12d | 1y 2moJan 2018 - Apr 2019 |
2024 correction2024 | -13.46%Aug 2024 | 27d | 4mo 6d | 5mo 3dJul 2024 - Dec 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.62 | 1.55 | 1.59 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.59, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Rick's 1-2-3-4 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.82 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.83 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.82 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 4, 2010 | 0.80 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TQQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while UUP has the lowest at -0.20.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick's 1-2-3-4 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's 1-2-3-4 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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