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Rick's 2x Harry Browne
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


UGL 27.00%YCS 27.00%EUO 27.00%UPRO 19.00%CommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 2x Harry Browne, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's 2x Harry Browne returned 7.63% Year-To-Date and 18.54% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.47%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Rick's 2x Harry Browne
-3.49%-2.51%7.63%8.95%37.90%30.98%23.10%18.54%
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
1.59%4.89%6.00%4.49%2.63%-0.21%5.83%2.59%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
-7.30%-17.17%-7.82%-3.83%46.42%49.47%25.50%17.75%
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
-7.90%-1.21%19.07%17.12%66.25%49.00%21.38%28.93%
YCS
ProShares UltraShort Yen
0.35%5.12%7.54%10.01%31.94%20.09%23.63%12.25%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 26, 2009, Rick's 2x Harry Browne's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.27%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.6 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +10.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, Rick's 2x Harry Browne closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -6.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20265.76%5.42%-7.98%4.35%4.38%-3.68%7.63%
20254.76%-1.50%0.45%-3.90%3.33%1.53%5.30%1.18%8.66%6.25%3.41%0.58%33.68%
20243.69%4.31%7.08%2.34%2.24%3.85%-0.82%0.01%3.48%6.24%2.05%1.50%42.13%
20235.58%-1.02%3.45%1.85%2.43%3.82%2.01%-0.04%-2.24%3.54%3.73%0.43%25.90%
2022-3.48%2.03%5.91%0.45%-3.76%0.44%4.32%-1.48%-3.17%4.25%0.99%-6.42%-0.70%
2021-1.50%-0.55%6.27%2.87%4.33%-1.26%1.82%2.07%-3.18%6.23%-0.56%5.21%23.36%

Benchmark Metrics

Rick's 2x Harry Browne has an annualized alpha of 8.24%, beta of 0.56, and R2 of 0.47 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 26, 2009.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (68.71%) than losses (37.71%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.56 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.47 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.47 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
8.24%
Beta
0.56
0.47
Upside Capture
68.71%
Downside Capture
37.71%

Expense Ratio

Rick's 2x Harry Browne has a high expense ratio of 0.96%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Rick's 2x Harry Browne ranks 37 for risk / return — below 37% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


Rick's 2x Harry Browne Risk / Return Rank: 3737
Overall Rank
Rick's 2x Harry Browne Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3434
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Rick's 2x Harry Browne Sortino Ratio Rank: 2525
Sortino Ratio Rank
Rick's 2x Harry Browne Omega Ratio Rank: 4848
Omega Ratio Rank
Rick's 2x Harry Browne Calmar Ratio Rank: 4141
Calmar Ratio Rank
Rick's 2x Harry Browne Martin Ratio Rank: 3535
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's 2x Harry Browne and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.10

2.01

+0.10

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.54

2.71

-0.17

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.36

+0.06

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.94

2.69

+0.25

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

10.50

12.34

-1.85


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
130.270.461.060.420.91
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
250.801.261.191.062.56
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
611.982.421.322.6711.23
YCS
ProShares UltraShort Yen
712.002.541.374.1112.84

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Rick's 2x Harry Browne Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.10
  • 5-Year: 1.61
  • 10-Year: 1.35
  • All Time: 1.12

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Rick's 2x Harry Browne compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's 2x Harry Browne provided a 0.14% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.14%0.16%0.18%0.14%0.10%0.01%0.02%0.08%0.12%0.00%0.02%0.06%
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
0.73%0.84%0.93%0.74%0.52%0.06%0.11%0.41%0.63%0.00%0.12%0.34%
YCS
ProShares UltraShort Yen
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 2x Harry Browne. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 2x Harry Browne was 22.74%, occurring on Mar 16, 2020. Recovery took 96 trading sessions.

The current Rick's 2x Harry Browne drawdown is 5.20%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

COVID crash2020
-22.74%Mar 2020
24d4mo 17d
5mo 11dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020
2015 correction2015
-14.46%Aug 2015
4mo 14d1y 3mo
1y 8moApr 2015 - Dec 2016
2025 selloff2025
-13.66%Apr 2025
1mo 23d3mo 4d
4mo 27dFeb 2025 - Jul 2025
2026 correction2026
-13.14%Mar 2026
1mo 26d
4mo 10dJan 2026 - now
2010 correction2010
-11.40%Jul 2010
1mo 24d4mo 28d
6mo 22dMay 2010 - Dec 2010

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.78

1.89

2.07

1.98

2.03

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.03, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

Rick's 2x Harry Browne correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Rick's 2x Harry Browne has a 0.49 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.49

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.55

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.62

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.69

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 26, 2009

0.67


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. UPRO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while EUO has the lowest at -0.22.

EUO
-0.22
UGL
0.06
YCS
0.19
UPRO
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Rick's 2x Harry Browne. UPRO has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.68, while EUO has the lowest at 0.08.

EUO
0.08
YCS
0.37
UGL
0.42
UPRO
0.68

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

EUOUGLYCSUPRO
EUO1.00-0.370.36-0.22
UGL-0.371.00-0.370.07
YCS0.36-0.371.000.19
UPRO-0.220.070.191.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jun 26, 2009
Diversification Analysis

Find what Rick's 2x Harry Browne is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Rick's 2x Harry Browne is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

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