Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 20% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 20% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 20% |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | Consumer Staples Equities | 20% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Golden Butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's Golden Butterfly returned 5.43% Year-To-Date and 8.84% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's Golden Butterfly | -1.54% | -1.44% | 5.43% | 5.01% | 14.02% | 10.51% | 6.21% | 8.84% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -3.63% | -8.61% | 0.06% | 2.63% | 30.01% | 29.73% | 17.65% | 12.97% |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 1.46% | 0.51% | 7.16% | 6.18% | -2.82% | -1.02% | -0.20% | 6.30% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | -4.80% | -0.87% | 14.92% | 13.01% | 33.69% | 26.46% | 16.70% | 21.27% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.65% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 3.19% | 5.60% | 4.04% | 6.04% | 3.28% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | -0.48% | -0.57% | -1.22% | -2.98% | 2.41% | -7.65% | -11.65% | -4.09% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 8, 2010, Rick's Golden Butterfly's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.79%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.3 years.
Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's Golden Butterfly closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.02% | 4.05% | -6.29% | 3.77% | 1.78% | -1.57% | 5.43% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.38% | 0.92% | -1.32% | -0.20% | 1.04% | 0.68% | 1.57% | 0.54% | 3.89% | 1.41% | 1.06% | -1.01% | 10.31% |
| 2024 | -0.87% | 0.82% | 2.30% | -2.89% | 2.71% | 1.51% | 2.93% | 1.01% | 2.04% | -0.77% | 3.36% | -2.52% | 9.78% |
| 2023 | 6.32% | -1.48% | 4.44% | 0.53% | -0.04% | 1.64% | 0.97% | -1.20% | -5.02% | -1.50% | 6.08% | 5.96% | 17.19% |
| 2022 | -4.49% | 0.11% | -0.01% | -4.76% | -1.90% | -1.63% | 3.15% | -2.29% | -5.86% | 0.68% | 4.89% | -3.93% | -15.41% |
| 2021 | 0.92% | -2.57% | 0.05% | 2.00% | 2.69% | 1.34% | 1.11% | 0.91% | -2.50% | 3.18% | 1.42% | 1.75% | 10.61% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's Golden Butterfly has an annualized alpha of 6.37%, beta of 0.26, and R2 of 0.31 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 08, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (39.54%) than losses (18.76%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.26 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.31 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.31 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.37%
- Beta
- 0.26
- R²
- 0.31
- Upside Capture
- 39.54%
- Downside Capture
- 18.76%
Expense Ratio
Rick's Golden Butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.32%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's Golden Butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.58 | 2.01 | -0.43 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.16 | 2.71 | -0.55 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.36 | -0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.78 | 2.69 | -0.91 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.00 | 12.34 | -6.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 31 | 1.07 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.42 | 3.60 |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 8 | -0.12 | -0.05 | 0.99 | -0.13 | -0.22 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 68 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 1.37 | 2.94 | 11.22 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 32 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 1.69 | 4.49 |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 10 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.11 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's Golden Butterfly provided a 2.19% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.19% | 2.24% | 2.30% | 2.41% | 1.15% | 0.65% | 0.76% | 1.35% | 1.00% | 0.94% | 1.11% | 1.06% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 2.08% | 2.35% | 1.88% | 1.49% | 1.29% | 1.21% | 1.59% | 1.77% | 0.94% | 1.25% | 1.48% | 1.34% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.40% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.31% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 5.16% | 4.96% | 4.58% | 3.52% | 2.76% | 1.60% | 1.68% | 2.22% | 2.06% | 2.53% | 3.00% | 2.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Golden Butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Golden Butterfly was 18.31%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 345 trading sessions.
The current Rick's Golden Butterfly drawdown is 2.62%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -18.31%Oct 2022 | 9mo 26d | 1y 4mo | 2y 2moDec 2021 - Mar 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -9.93%Mar 2020 | 9d | 22d | 1mo 1dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.22%Apr 2025 | 3mo 27d | 3mo 10d | 7mo 7dDec 2024 - Jul 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -7.87%Mar 2026 | 24d | — | 3mo 7dMar 2026 - now |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -6.92%Dec 2018 | 3mo 21d | 1mo 23d | 5mo 14dSep 2018 - Feb 2019 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.94 | 2.09 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.09, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Rick's Golden Butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 8, 2010 | 0.51 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while ZROZ has the lowest at -0.24.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick's Golden Butterfly is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's Golden Butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification