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Rick's Golden Butterfly
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


ZROZ 20.00%IAU 20.00%UUP 20.00%QQQ 20.00%PSCC 20.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Golden Butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's Golden Butterfly returned 5.43% Year-To-Date and 8.84% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.47%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Rick's Golden Butterfly
-1.54%-1.44%5.43%5.01%14.02%10.51%6.21%8.84%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-3.63%-8.61%0.06%2.63%30.01%29.73%17.65%12.97%
PSCC
Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF
1.46%0.51%7.16%6.18%-2.82%-1.02%-0.20%6.30%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
-4.80%-0.87%14.92%13.01%33.69%26.46%16.70%21.27%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
0.65%2.49%3.66%3.19%5.60%4.04%6.04%3.28%
ZROZ
PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund
-0.48%-0.57%-1.22%-2.98%2.41%-7.65%-11.65%-4.09%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 8, 2010, Rick's Golden Butterfly's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.79%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.3 years.

Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, Rick's Golden Butterfly closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.02%4.05%-6.29%3.77%1.78%-1.57%5.43%
20251.38%0.92%-1.32%-0.20%1.04%0.68%1.57%0.54%3.89%1.41%1.06%-1.01%10.31%
2024-0.87%0.82%2.30%-2.89%2.71%1.51%2.93%1.01%2.04%-0.77%3.36%-2.52%9.78%
20236.32%-1.48%4.44%0.53%-0.04%1.64%0.97%-1.20%-5.02%-1.50%6.08%5.96%17.19%
2022-4.49%0.11%-0.01%-4.76%-1.90%-1.63%3.15%-2.29%-5.86%0.68%4.89%-3.93%-15.41%
20210.92%-2.57%0.05%2.00%2.69%1.34%1.11%0.91%-2.50%3.18%1.42%1.75%10.61%

Benchmark Metrics

Rick's Golden Butterfly has an annualized alpha of 6.37%, beta of 0.26, and R2 of 0.31 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 08, 2010.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (39.54%) than losses (18.76%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.26 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.31 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.31 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
6.37%
Beta
0.26
0.31
Upside Capture
39.54%
Downside Capture
18.76%

Expense Ratio

Rick's Golden Butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.32%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Rick's Golden Butterfly ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Rick's Golden Butterfly Risk / Return Rank: 1919
Overall Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2020
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly Sortino Ratio Rank: 1919
Sortino Ratio Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly Omega Ratio Rank: 2121
Omega Ratio Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly Calmar Ratio Rank: 1717
Calmar Ratio Rank
Rick's Golden Butterfly Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's Golden Butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.58

2.01

-0.43

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.16

2.71

-0.55

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.29

1.36

-0.07

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.78

2.69

-0.91

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

6.00

12.34

-6.34


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
311.071.451.221.423.60
PSCC
Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF
8-0.12-0.050.99-0.13-0.22
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
682.112.721.372.9411.22
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
321.011.461.181.694.49
ZROZ
PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund
100.040.181.020.050.11

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Rick's Golden Butterfly Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.58
  • 5-Year: 0.66
  • 10-Year: 1.01
  • All Time: 1.18

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Rick's Golden Butterfly compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's Golden Butterfly provided a 2.19% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.19%2.24%2.30%2.41%1.15%0.65%0.76%1.35%1.00%0.94%1.11%1.06%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PSCC
Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF
2.08%2.35%1.88%1.49%1.29%1.21%1.59%1.77%0.94%1.25%1.48%1.34%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.40%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.31%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%
ZROZ
PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund
5.16%4.96%4.58%3.52%2.76%1.60%1.68%2.22%2.06%2.53%3.00%2.98%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Golden Butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Golden Butterfly was 18.31%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 345 trading sessions.

The current Rick's Golden Butterfly drawdown is 2.62%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Bear market2022
-18.31%Oct 2022
9mo 26d1y 4mo
2y 2moDec 2021 - Mar 2024
COVID crash2020
-9.93%Mar 2020
9d22d
1mo 1dMar 2020 - Apr 2020
2025 selloff2025
-8.22%Apr 2025
3mo 27d3mo 10d
7mo 7dDec 2024 - Jul 2025
2026 pullback2026
-7.87%Mar 2026
24d
3mo 7dMar 2026 - now
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-6.92%Dec 2018
3mo 21d1mo 23d
5mo 14dSep 2018 - Feb 2019

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.91

1.86

1.88

1.94

2.09

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.09, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

Rick's Golden Butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Rick's Golden Butterfly has a 0.63 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.63

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.65

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.65

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.60

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 8, 2010

0.51


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while ZROZ has the lowest at -0.24.

ZROZ
-0.24
UUP
-0.21
IAU
0.05
PSCC
0.58
QQQ
0.90

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Rick's Golden Butterfly. PSCC has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.55, while UUP has the lowest at -0.17.

UUP
-0.17
ZROZ
0.46
IAU
0.47
QQQ
0.54
PSCC
0.55

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Apr 8, 2010
Diversification Analysis

Find what Rick's Golden Butterfly is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Rick's Golden Butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification