Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 80% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 20% |
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 0% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in RiskOnRiskOff, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the RiskOnRiskOff returned 17.19% Year-To-Date and 14.86% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio RiskOnRiskOff | 1.46% | 1.66% | 17.19% | 15.34% | 29.13% | 17.99% | 14.47% | 14.86% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 3.03% | 0.58% | 31.05% | 26.63% | 69.67% | 46.32% | 23.57% | 35.29% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 4.41% | -0.01% | 44.91% | 37.12% | 106.99% | 62.78% | 24.89% | 43.95% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.04% | 2.52% | 3.70% | 3.08% | 5.64% | 4.21% | 6.04% | 3.19% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 11, 2010, RiskOnRiskOff's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.09%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was May 2026 with a return of +10.7%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, RiskOnRiskOff closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -7.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.06% | -0.98% | -0.24% | 10.19% | 10.69% | -2.68% | 17.19% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.13% | -2.23% | -6.71% | -4.01% | 5.61% | 2.79% | 4.30% | -1.23% | 3.74% | 4.63% | -1.42% | -1.36% | 4.50% |
| 2024 | 2.95% | 3.67% | 1.32% | -1.12% | 2.31% | 5.02% | -2.50% | -1.29% | 0.89% | 2.05% | 4.64% | 2.28% | 21.81% |
| 2023 | 5.64% | 1.62% | 4.96% | -0.38% | 7.24% | 3.45% | 1.74% | 0.41% | -1.02% | -0.79% | 4.28% | 2.73% | 33.81% |
| 2022 | -4.32% | -2.30% | 2.62% | -3.27% | -2.33% | -1.10% | 8.55% | -1.97% | -3.87% | 1.29% | -1.20% | -7.60% | -15.21% |
| 2021 | 0.50% | 0.05% | 2.47% | 2.02% | -2.24% | 6.51% | 1.47% | 3.06% | -2.57% | 4.68% | 2.63% | 0.29% | 20.15% |
Benchmark Metrics
RiskOnRiskOff has an annualized alpha of 5.93%, beta of 0.56, and R2 of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 11, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (64.68%) than losses (44.46%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.93% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.56 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 5.93%
- Beta
- 0.56
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 64.68%
- Downside Capture
- 44.46%
Expense Ratio
RiskOnRiskOff has an expense ratio of 0.79%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
RiskOnRiskOff ranks 74 for risk / return — better than 74% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for RiskOnRiskOff and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.49 | 1.94 | +0.56 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.16 | 2.63 | +0.54 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.48 | 1.35 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.07 | 2.59 | +2.48 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.20 | 11.84 | +1.36 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 63 | 2.10 | 2.52 | 1.34 | 2.79 | 9.64 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 63 | 2.16 | 2.45 | 1.33 | 2.91 | 9.45 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 29 | 0.93 | 1.34 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 4.13 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
RiskOnRiskOff provided a 2.73% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.73% | 2.87% | 3.84% | 5.41% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.63% | 0.89% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.13% | 0.17% | 0.25% | 0.33% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.11% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.41% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.31% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the RiskOnRiskOff. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the RiskOnRiskOff was 18.40%, occurring on Apr 21, 2025. Recovery took 105 trading sessions.
The current RiskOnRiskOff drawdown is 3.99%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -18.40%Apr 2025 | 3mo 26d | 5mo 1d | 8mo 27dDec 2024 - Sep 2025 |
COVID crash2020 | -18.03%Mar 2020 | 25d | 3mo 8d | 4mo 3dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -17.17%Dec 2022 | 1y 1mo | 4mo 29d | 1y 6moNov 2021 - May 2023 |
2011 correction2011 | -14.54%Aug 2011 | 6mo 4d | 5mo 24d | 11mo 28dFeb 2011 - Feb 2012 |
2016 correction2016 | -12.51%Feb 2016 | 2mo 11d | 8mo 16d | 10mo 27dDec 2015 - Oct 2016 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.45 | 1.37 | 1.42 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.42, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
RiskOnRiskOff correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.77 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 11, 2010 | 0.74 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QLD has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while UUP has the lowest at -0.21.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what RiskOnRiskOff is missing
See which holdings overlap, where RiskOnRiskOff is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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