Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 0% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 20% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 80% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in RiskOnRiskOff, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 11, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of TQQQ
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the RiskOnRiskOff returned -0.20% Year-To-Date and 12.94% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio RiskOnRiskOff | 0.42% | 0.24% | -0.20% | 0.90% | 12.30% | 14.89% | 10.79% | 12.94% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.47% | 1.46% | 3.07% | 4.62% | 1.27% | 4.90% | 5.26% | 3.13% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.18% | -6.10% | -11.07% | -10.29% | 36.96% | 36.81% | 15.87% | 29.84% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 12, 2010, RiskOnRiskOff's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.00%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.8 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +9.0%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, RiskOnRiskOff closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -7.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.06% | -0.98% | -0.24% | 1.08% | -0.20% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.13% | -2.23% | -6.71% | -4.01% | 5.61% | 2.79% | 4.30% | -1.23% | 3.74% | 4.63% | -1.42% | -1.36% | 4.50% |
| 2024 | 2.95% | 3.67% | 1.32% | -1.12% | 2.31% | 5.02% | -2.50% | -1.29% | 0.89% | 2.05% | 4.64% | 2.28% | 21.81% |
| 2023 | 5.64% | 1.62% | 4.96% | -0.38% | 7.24% | 3.45% | 1.74% | 0.41% | -1.02% | -0.79% | 4.28% | 2.73% | 33.81% |
| 2022 | -4.32% | -2.30% | 2.62% | -3.27% | -2.33% | -1.10% | 8.55% | -1.97% | -3.87% | 1.29% | -1.20% | -7.60% | -15.21% |
| 2021 | 0.50% | 0.05% | 2.47% | 2.02% | -2.24% | 6.51% | 1.47% | 3.06% | -2.57% | 4.68% | 2.63% | 0.29% | 20.15% |
Benchmark Metrics
RiskOnRiskOff has an annualized alpha of 5.35%, beta of 0.56, and R² of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 12, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (62.25%) than losses (43.69%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.35% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.56 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 5.35%
- Beta
- 0.56
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 62.25%
- Downside Capture
- 43.69%
Expense Ratio
RiskOnRiskOff has an expense ratio of 0.79%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
RiskOnRiskOff ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.86 | 0.88 | -0.02 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.24 | 1.37 | -0.13 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.21 | -0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.22 | 1.39 | -0.17 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.29 | 6.43 | -2.14 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 47 | 0.83 | 1.42 | 1.20 | 1.55 | 4.97 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
RiskOnRiskOff provided a 2.81% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.81% | 2.87% | 3.84% | 5.41% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.63% | 0.89% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.33% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.19% | 0.17% | 0.25% | 0.33% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.21% | 0.11% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the RiskOnRiskOff. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the RiskOnRiskOff was 18.40%, occurring on Apr 21, 2025. Recovery took 105 trading sessions.
The current RiskOnRiskOff drawdown is 3.71%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.4% | Dec 26, 2024 | 78 | Apr 21, 2025 | 105 | Sep 19, 2025 | 183 |
| -18.03% | Feb 20, 2020 | 18 | Mar 16, 2020 | 68 | Jun 22, 2020 | 86 |
| -17.17% | Nov 22, 2021 | 277 | Dec 28, 2022 | 103 | May 26, 2023 | 380 |
| -14.54% | Feb 16, 2011 | 129 | Aug 19, 2011 | 119 | Feb 9, 2012 | 248 |
| -12.51% | Dec 2, 2015 | 49 | Feb 11, 2016 | 177 | Oct 24, 2016 | 226 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UUP | QLD | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.21 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| UUP | -0.21 | 1.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | 0.30 |
| QLD | 0.90 | -0.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | -0.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Portfolio | 0.74 | 0.30 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.00 |