Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 35% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 35% |
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF | Small Cap Value Equities | 15% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Emerging Markets Equities | 15% |
Benchmark: S&P 500 Index · Rebalance: Every 3 months
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Compare your portfolio against anything
Returns By Period
As of Aug 4, 2026, the Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio returned 5.25% Year-To-Date and 4.54% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | ALL TIME* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.48% | 1.57% | 8.95% | 11.03% | 21.84% | 19.28% | 11.54% | 13.29% | 8.11% |
Portfolio Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio | 0.34% | 0.12% | 3.07% | 5.25% | 10.58% | 7.25% | 3.04% | 4.54% | 4.77% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||||||
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF | 1.63% | 2.02% | 13.63% | 22.21% | 41.71% | 13.61% | 8.71% | 10.13% | 10.00% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.63% | 0.78% | 2.55% | 4.10% | 1.78% | 1.66% | 1.95% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 0.01% | -0.63% | 0.29% | 0.55% | 1.81% | 3.68% | 0.17% | 2.33% | 3.46% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 0.53% | 0.03% | 4.14% | 9.99% | 22.33% | 15.67% | 5.92% | 7.69% | 6.83% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 10, 2005, Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.40%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 14.5 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Oct 2011 with a return of +5.3%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -9.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +3.2%, while the worst single day was May 6, 2010 at -3.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.98% | 1.29% | -2.24% | 3.22% | 0.53% | 0.62% | -0.50% | 0.34% | 5.25% | ||||
| 2025 | 0.99% | 0.31% | -0.32% | -0.55% | 0.88% | 2.03% | 0.28% | 2.70% | 1.33% | 0.40% | 0.47% | 0.15% | 8.97% |
| 2024 | -1.11% | 0.34% | 1.13% | -1.58% | 1.86% | 0.37% | 2.98% | 0.50% | 2.02% | -1.53% | 1.58% | -1.78% | 4.74% |
| 2023 | 4.03% | -2.05% | 0.89% | -0.32% | -1.54% | 1.64% | 1.91% | -1.84% | -2.02% | -1.57% | 3.69% | 3.76% | 6.46% |
| 2022 | -1.56% | -0.09% | -1.56% | -2.76% | 0.26% | -3.18% | 2.81% | -1.96% | -5.87% | 2.17% | 3.56% | -1.84% | -9.94% |
| 2021 | 1.51% | 1.33% | 0.75% | 1.04% | 1.23% | 0.29% | -0.54% | 0.51% | -1.01% | 0.89% | -0.55% | 0.90% | 6.50% |
Benchmark Metrics
Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 1.85%, beta of 0.29, and R2 of 0.66 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 10, 2005.
- This portfolio participated in 34.69% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 34.01% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.29 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 1.85%
- Beta
- 0.29
- R²
- 0.66
- Upside Capture
- 34.01%
- Downside Capture
- 34.69%
Expense Ratio
Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio ranks 74 for risk / return — above 74% of Portfolios peers on PortfoliosLab. Its historical combined result is above most peers.
Risk / Return Metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.93 | 1.71 | +0.22 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.85 | 2.36 | +0.49 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.37 | 1.31 | +0.06 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.05 | 2.41 | +0.64 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.51 | 10.22 | +1.29 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF | 91 | 2.37 | 3.39 | 1.41 | 4.51 | 15.48 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 83 | 1.99 | 2.96 | 1.38 | 2.88 | 11.26 |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 25 | 0.55 | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.92 | 2.43 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 52 | 1.28 | 1.81 | 1.23 | 2.01 | 6.52 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio provided a 3.56% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.56% | 3.20% | 3.00% | 2.74% | 3.73% | 2.21% | 1.17% | 2.09% | 2.24% | 1.63% | 1.33% | 1.03% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF | 1.30% | 1.62% | 1.78% | 1.42% | 1.46% | 1.52% | 1.00% | 1.66% | 1.75% | 1.41% | 1.22% | 1.59% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.64% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 4.98% | 3.46% | 2.52% | 2.73% | 6.96% | 4.28% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 2.71% | 2.07% | 1.48% | 0.34% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.34% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio was 21.61%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 153 trading sessions.
The current Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio drawdown is 0.28%.
Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater | Related event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
-21.61%Mar 2009 | 9mo 23d | 7mo 9d | 1y 4moMay 2008 - Oct 2009 | Financial crisis2007–2009 |
-14.58%Sep 2022 | 10mo 24d | 1y 11mo | 2y 10moNov 2021 - Sep 2024 | Bear market2022 |
-13.45%Mar 2020 | 1mo 27d | 2mo 22d | 4mo 19dJan 2020 - Jun 2020 | COVID crash2020 |
-9.76%Jan 2016 | 8mo 29d | 6mo 20d | 1y 3moApr 2015 - Aug 2016 | — |
-6.99%Oct 2011 | 2mo 10d | 3mo 16d | 5mo 26dJul 2011 - Jan 2012 | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
AI Analysis
The gist
The portfolio is a 50/50 split between equity risk and short-duration, inflation-sensitive bonds, with diversification coming from two distinct clusters rather than four independent bets.
The numbers
- The diversification ratio is 1.28 over one year and 1.44 since inception: modest currently, historically above 71.6% of platform portfolios.
- Effective asset count is 3.45 of 4, so the weights are genuinely spread rather than concentrated in one holding.
- Mean correlation is only 0.14, although the two largest sleeves each contain an internal correlation problem.
The good
- iShares S&P 600 Small-Cap Value ETF (IJS) and Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) provide distinct equity markets with a manageable 0.64 correlation.
- iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP) and iShares 1–3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) provide ballast, while their different inflation and duration exposures keep the portfolio from becoming a single bond trade.
The bad
- TIP and SHY carry 35% each and correlate at 0.62, making the bond half less diversified than its ticker count suggests.
- IJS and VWO correlate at 0.64, and each has portfolio correlation above 0.82; the equity sleeve behaves like one broad risk bucket.
The ugly
- An equity selloff tied to global growth could pressure IJS and VWO together, while falling real yields could weaken TIP; only SHY would be relatively insulated.
Next steps
- Portfolios with this structure are typically complemented by risk drivers outside both global equities and Treasury inflation exposure.
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.45, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.44 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.44, in line with the typical range across portfolios.
Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.79 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.72 |
Correlation (5Y) Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period. | 0.72 |
Correlation (10Y) Provides a long-term view across more market conditions. | 0.73 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 10, 2005 | 0.78 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. IJS has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.81, while SHY has the lowest at -0.17.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Larry Swedroe Minimize FatTails Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification