Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | Leveraged Bonds, Leveraged | 50% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in TQQQ/TMF, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 11, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of TQQQ
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the TQQQ/TMF returned -9.52% Year-To-Date and 14.23% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -4.45% | -3.95% | -2.02% | 16.73% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio TQQQ/TMF | 1.82% | -10.81% | -9.52% | -12.20% | 15.90% | 12.10% | -6.42% | 14.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 3.72% | -12.88% | -17.87% | -17.28% | 48.52% | 46.87% | 13.55% | 35.31% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | -0.28% | -10.73% | -3.05% | -9.57% | -17.24% | -23.47% | -29.34% | -15.81% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 12, 2010, TQQQ/TMF's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.33%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.5 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +31.7%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -31.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 7 months.
On a daily basis, TQQQ/TMF closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +17.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -15.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.69% | 2.23% | -13.67% | 1.82% | -9.52% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.17% | 3.42% | -13.34% | -4.85% | 8.03% | 14.20% | 0.79% | 0.06% | 12.98% | 8.01% | -3.57% | -5.80% | 20.16% |
| 2024 | -2.17% | 3.92% | 1.84% | -16.86% | 13.06% | 11.45% | 0.78% | 2.74% | 5.40% | -10.45% | 9.81% | -8.36% | 6.65% |
| 2023 | 27.45% | -8.99% | 21.52% | -0.19% | 6.33% | 10.08% | 0.97% | -8.41% | -19.07% | -12.69% | 31.74% | 20.82% | 71.27% |
| 2022 | -18.65% | -9.85% | -4.80% | -31.78% | -8.65% | -15.67% | 22.23% | -15.68% | -27.69% | -5.27% | 16.32% | -18.58% | -75.47% |
| 2021 | -5.65% | -8.65% | -5.84% | 12.32% | -2.70% | 16.65% | 9.65% | 5.49% | -13.12% | 15.78% | 6.31% | -2.19% | 25.16% |
Benchmark Metrics
TQQQ/TMF has an annualized alpha of 15.03%, beta of 1.10, and R² of 0.32 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 12, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 198.76% of S&P 500 Index gains and 135.67% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- R² of 0.32 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 15.03%
- Beta
- 1.10
- R²
- 0.32
- Upside Capture
- 198.76%
- Downside Capture
- 135.67%
Expense Ratio
TQQQ/TMF has a high expense ratio of 1.02%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
TQQQ/TMF ranks 10 for risk / return — in the bottom 10% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.42 | 0.92 | -0.50 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.84 | 1.41 | -0.58 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.11 | 1.21 | -0.10 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.70 | 1.41 | -0.71 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.95 | 6.61 | -4.67 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 47 | 0.72 | 1.41 | 1.20 | 1.41 | 4.28 |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.51 | -0.52 | 0.94 | -0.56 | -0.89 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
TQQQ/TMF provided a 2.38% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.38% | 2.35% | 2.78% | 2.04% | 1.09% | 0.07% | 1.12% | 0.50% | 0.80% | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4.02% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the TQQQ/TMF. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the TQQQ/TMF was 77.77%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current TQQQ/TMF drawdown is 53.15%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -77.77% | Nov 22, 2021 | 244 | Nov 9, 2022 | — | — | — |
| -42.1% | Mar 9, 2020 | 8 | Mar 18, 2020 | 29 | Apr 29, 2020 | 37 |
| -29.23% | Sep 3, 2020 | 127 | Mar 8, 2021 | 83 | Jul 6, 2021 | 210 |
| -26.69% | Aug 30, 2018 | 58 | Nov 20, 2018 | 80 | Mar 20, 2019 | 138 |
| -22.87% | Sep 29, 2016 | 45 | Dec 1, 2016 | 83 | Apr 3, 2017 | 128 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TMF | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.90 | 0.59 |
| TMF | -0.25 | 1.00 | -0.19 | 0.47 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | -0.19 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Portfolio | 0.59 | 0.47 | 0.71 | 1.00 |