Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | -100% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 200% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2xBTC, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 2xBTC | -3.92% | -7.18% | -48.82% | -75.76% | -52.19% | 34.30% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.90% | 1.85% | 4.01% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, 2xBTC's average daily return is +0.59%, while the average monthly return is +15.34%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.4 years.
Historically, 55% of months were positive and 45% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +714.3%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -141.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 2xBTC closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Jun 16, 2022 with a return of +223.0%, while the worst single day was Dec 17, 2018 at -274.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -20.74% | -34.38% | 2.79% | -4.25% | -48.82% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 18.91% | -32.66% | -5.14% | 27.83% | 19.51% | 3.33% | 15.85% | -12.57% | 10.49% | -8.28% | -37.09% | -8.49% | -29.15% |
| 2024 | 0.80% | 86.67% | 26.71% | -29.66% | 26.08% | -16.16% | 5.60% | -16.99% | 14.39% | 22.19% | 70.16% | -4.80% | 251.90% |
| 2023 | 79.89% | -0.08% | 37.01% | 4.99% | -13.68% | 24.26% | -8.50% | -24.20% | 9.08% | 56.54% | 14.25% | 18.83% | 345.91% |
| 2022 | -34.08% | 31.52% | 11.85% | -35.84% | -41.59% | -141.59% | 33.39% | -24.73% | -6.39% | 10.89% | -31.41% | -9.01% | -109.83% |
| 2021 | 28.53% | 64.73% | 44.12% | -3.40% | -72.22% | -21.23% | 37.63% | 23.87% | -10.21% | 75.97% | -10.72% | -30.04% | 8.51% |
Benchmark Metrics
2xBTC has an annualized alpha of 346.48%, beta of 1.58, and R² of 0.02 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.
- R² of 0.02 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 346.48%
- Beta
- 1.58
- R²
- 0.02
- Upside Capture
- 455.87%
Expense Ratio
2xBTC has an expense ratio of -0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2xBTC ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.49 | 0.88 | -1.37 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.23 | 1.37 | -1.60 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.97 | 1.21 | -0.23 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.07 | 1.39 | -2.46 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.78 | 6.43 | -8.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2xBTC provided a -3.96% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | -3.96% | -4.13% | -5.03% | -4.92% | -1.35% | 0.00% | -0.30% | -2.05% | -1.66% | -0.68% | -0.07% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2xBTC. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2xBTC was 118.64%, occurring on Oct 6, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 2xBTC drawdown is 104.48%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -118.64% | Jan 7, 2018 | 2830 | Oct 6, 2025 | — | — | — |
| -99.36% | Dec 5, 2013 | 406 | Jan 14, 2015 | 874 | Jun 6, 2017 | 1280 |
| -88.25% | Apr 10, 2013 | 86 | Jul 5, 2013 | 110 | Oct 23, 2013 | 196 |
| -61.49% | Aug 17, 2012 | 3 | Aug 19, 2012 | 111 | Dec 10, 2012 | 114 |
| -58.6% | Jun 12, 2017 | 35 | Jul 16, 2017 | 4 | Jul 20, 2017 | 39 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.20, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | BTC-USD | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| BIL | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.98 | 1.00 |