Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | Nontraditional Bonds | 60% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 20% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 10% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's High Octane Butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 8, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of RSBT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Rick's High Octane Butterfly | 0.50% | -4.21% | 1.64% | 6.85% | 29.29% | 19.77% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 1.36% | -7.61% | -2.59% | -4.37% | -4.08% | 13.21% | 8.75% | — |
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | 1.28% | -0.26% | 6.31% | 12.21% | 16.74% | 3.04% | — | — |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -3.94% | -17.59% | 9.85% | 32.96% | 88.49% | 56.26% | 34.59% | 20.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 9, 2023, Rick's High Octane Butterfly's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.44%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +9.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's High Octane Butterfly closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.14% | 4.51% | -8.90% | 1.54% | 1.64% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.13% | -0.74% | -3.12% | -3.07% | 4.29% | 5.84% | -0.87% | 3.87% | 9.70% | 5.56% | -1.33% | 1.62% | 28.10% |
| 2024 | 0.05% | 4.46% | 5.46% | -3.21% | 3.97% | 4.59% | -0.73% | 0.96% | 3.23% | -5.60% | 4.06% | -1.85% | 15.71% |
| 2023 | -4.17% | 2.53% | 0.86% | 2.38% | 6.15% | 2.27% | -4.38% | -3.76% | -1.82% | 6.83% | 5.89% | 12.57% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's High Octane Butterfly has an annualized alpha of 1.69%, beta of 1.06, and R² of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 09, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 110.21% of S&P 500 Index gains and 102.24% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- With beta of 1.06 and R² of 0.67, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 1.69%
- Beta
- 1.06
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 110.21%
- Downside Capture
- 102.24%
Expense Ratio
Rick's High Octane Butterfly has a high expense ratio of 0.96%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's High Octane Butterfly ranks 50 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.33 | 0.88 | +0.45 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.79 | 1.37 | +0.42 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.26 | 1.21 | +0.05 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.11 | 1.39 | +0.72 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.17 | 6.43 | +0.73 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 8 | -0.17 | -0.07 | 0.99 | -0.20 | -0.81 |
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | 55 | 1.12 | 1.52 | 1.20 | 2.05 | 4.58 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 74 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.29 | 2.40 | 8.01 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's High Octane Butterfly provided a 1.95% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.95% | 2.05% | 0.25% | 1.68% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | 3.01% | 3.20% | 0.00% | 2.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's High Octane Butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's High Octane Butterfly was 20.27%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 62 trading sessions.
The current Rick's High Octane Butterfly drawdown is 9.27%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20.27% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 62 | Jul 9, 2025 | 97 |
| -13.5% | Jan 29, 2026 | 41 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -13.11% | Jul 11, 2024 | 20 | Aug 7, 2024 | 127 | Feb 10, 2025 | 147 |
| -11.18% | Jul 19, 2023 | 71 | Oct 26, 2023 | 33 | Dec 13, 2023 | 104 |
| -11.13% | Feb 14, 2023 | 19 | Mar 13, 2023 | 53 | May 26, 2023 | 72 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.38, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UGL | USML | RSBT | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0.45 | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| UGL | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.07 | 0.40 |
| USML | 0.69 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| RSBT | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.79 |
| TQQQ | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.83 | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 1.00 |