Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | Nontraditional Bonds | 60% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities | 20% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 10% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | Leveraged Equities | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's High Octane Butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's High Octane Butterfly | -7.77% | -3.88% | 15.23% | 15.58% | 43.65% | 22.98% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | -4.25% | -2.52% | 5.58% | 7.48% | 23.39% | 3.35% | — | — |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | -14.28% | -4.23% | 38.79% | 30.51% | 98.25% | 60.11% | 24.09% | 42.84% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -7.30% | -17.17% | -7.82% | -3.83% | 46.42% | 49.47% | 25.50% | 17.75% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | -1.73% | 3.16% | 1.71% | 1.67% | 1.50% | 16.28% | 7.85% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 9, 2023, Rick's High Octane Butterfly's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.71%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.4 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's High Octane Butterfly closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.5%, while the worst single day was Jun 5, 2026 at -7.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.14% | 4.51% | -8.90% | 12.15% | 10.28% | -6.92% | 15.23% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.13% | -0.74% | -3.12% | -3.07% | 4.29% | 5.84% | -0.87% | 3.87% | 9.70% | 5.56% | -1.33% | 1.62% | 28.10% |
| 2024 | 0.05% | 4.46% | 5.46% | -3.21% | 3.97% | 4.59% | -0.73% | 0.96% | 3.23% | -5.60% | 4.06% | -1.85% | 15.71% |
| 2023 | -4.17% | 2.53% | 0.86% | 2.38% | 6.15% | 2.27% | -4.38% | -3.76% | -1.82% | 6.83% | 5.89% | 12.57% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's High Octane Butterfly has an annualized alpha of 1.26%, beta of 1.09, and R2 of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 09, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 116.42% of S&P 500 Index gains and 112.14% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- With beta of 1.09 and R2 of 0.67, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 1.26%
- Beta
- 1.09
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 116.42%
- Downside Capture
- 112.14%
Expense Ratio
Rick's High Octane Butterfly has a high expense ratio of 0.96%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's High Octane Butterfly ranks 37 for risk / return — below 37% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's High Octane Butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.06 | 2.01 | +0.06 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.49 | 2.71 | -0.22 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.37 | 1.36 | 0.00 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.25 | 2.69 | +0.56 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.68 | 12.34 | -0.66 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | 55 | 1.52 | 1.98 | 1.29 | 3.52 | 9.36 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 61 | 2.10 | 2.41 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 9.20 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 25 | 0.80 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 2.56 |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 12 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 1.04 | 0.22 | 0.67 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's High Octane Butterfly provided a 1.91% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.91% | 2.05% | 0.25% | 1.68% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF | 3.03% | 3.20% | 0.00% | 2.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.43% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's High Octane Butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's High Octane Butterfly was 20.27%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 62 trading sessions.
The current Rick's High Octane Butterfly drawdown is 8.76%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -20.27%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 3mo 2d | 4mo 20dFeb 2025 - Jul 2025 |
2026 correction2026 | -13.50%Mar 2026 | 1mo 27d | 28d | 2mo 25dJan 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 correction2024 | -13.11%Aug 2024 | 27d | 6mo 7d | 7mo 4dJul 2024 - Feb 2025 |
2023 correction2023 | -11.18%Oct 2023 | 3mo 9d | 1mo 18d | 4mo 27dJul 2023 - Dec 2023 |
2023 correction2023 | -11.13%Mar 2023 | 27d | 2mo 14d | 3mo 11dFeb 2023 - May 2023 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.38, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.33 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.33, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Rick's High Octane Butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.82 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.84 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 9, 2023 | 0.84 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TQQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.93, while UGL has the lowest at 0.12.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick's High Octane Butterfly is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's High Octane Butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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