Speculative Portfolio
Leveraged Portfolio
Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 1% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 44% |
TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 5% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 35% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 15% |
Performance
Performance Chart
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 29, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of TSLA
Returns By Period
As of May 11, 2025, the Speculative Portfolio returned -20.04% Year-To-Date and 55.43% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| YTD | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 | -3.77% | 7.44% | -5.60% | 8.37% | 14.12% | 10.46% |
| Speculative Portfolio | -20.04% | 17.26% | -21.47% | 24.38% | 53.30% | 55.43% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | -13.13% | 8.44% | -20.97% | 29.82% | 71.04% | 72.60% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | -25.26% | 27.81% | -28.29% | 1.00% | 26.28% | 29.84% |
TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares | -32.27% | 36.32% | -37.80% | -17.78% | 28.02% | 32.61% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | -26.14% | 18.17% | -7.15% | 77.04% | 40.86% | 33.91% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 4.30% | 15.05% | 4.25% | 6.59% | 19.74% | 26.80% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of Speculative Portfolio, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -3.32% | -6.66% | -17.19% | -0.19% | 7.21% | -20.04% | |||||||
| 2024 | 8.79% | 20.82% | 7.03% | -7.30% | 18.79% | 14.77% | -3.03% | -0.48% | 6.80% | 1.55% | 13.02% | 1.37% | 113.22% |
| 2023 | 33.70% | 10.05% | 19.82% | -3.29% | 29.09% | 16.27% | 8.94% | -0.60% | -12.30% | -8.53% | 23.43% | 9.78% | 201.26% |
| 2022 | -19.14% | -7.02% | 13.05% | -31.64% | -5.38% | -20.51% | 29.41% | -15.35% | -21.60% | 6.68% | 15.31% | -20.44% | -63.27% |
| 2021 | 1.36% | -0.45% | -0.42% | 13.54% | -0.05% | 19.84% | 2.60% | 12.54% | -9.55% | 26.87% | 14.96% | -5.05% | 97.63% |
| 2020 | 12.02% | -0.93% | -18.63% | 30.50% | 17.53% | 15.39% | 18.77% | 38.04% | -10.24% | -9.11% | 23.67% | 9.67% | 189.91% |
| 2019 | 12.73% | 8.24% | 10.48% | 5.13% | -24.14% | 22.07% | 5.07% | -4.41% | 3.66% | 16.27% | 9.23% | 12.63% | 95.49% |
| 2018 | 24.86% | -3.52% | -10.39% | 0.08% | 11.74% | 0.97% | 2.57% | 14.30% | -2.37% | -18.61% | -10.00% | -18.21% | -16.42% |
| 2017 | 9.86% | 2.71% | 7.15% | 3.22% | 21.93% | -2.14% | 8.97% | 5.48% | 1.60% | 12.45% | -0.03% | -0.96% | 93.62% |
| 2016 | -15.97% | 1.37% | 17.33% | -3.57% | 18.17% | -2.83% | 20.15% | 3.31% | 7.28% | -0.47% | 13.40% | 11.17% | 84.90% |
| 2015 | -6.23% | 15.96% | -6.48% | 8.05% | 4.28% | -5.94% | 4.66% | -4.54% | 2.08% | 19.40% | 6.96% | -0.26% | 39.99% |
| 2014 | -0.49% | 19.53% | -6.48% | 0.59% | 6.76% | 4.86% | -2.19% | 14.19% | -4.79% | 5.04% | 9.48% | -6.22% | 43.62% |
Expense Ratio
Speculative Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.39%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
The current rank of Speculative Portfolio is 34, indicating average performance compared to other portfolios on our website. Here’s a breakdown of how it compares using common performance measures.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.53 | 1.05 | 1.13 | 0.78 | 1.94 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.02 | 0.56 | 1.08 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares | -0.19 | 0.33 | 1.04 | -0.25 | -0.58 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 1.03 | 1.74 | 1.21 | 1.15 | 2.83 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.28 | 0.63 | 1.08 | 0.34 | 0.75 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Speculative Portfolio provided a 0.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.63% | 0.47% | 0.48% | 0.27% | 0.05% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.28% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 0.55% | 0.78% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% | 1.70% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 1.67% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.03% |
TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares | 0.58% | 0.29% | 0.28% | 0.22% | 0.32% | 0.52% | 0.25% | 0.47% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.72% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% | 2.48% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Speculative Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Speculative Portfolio was 69.03%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 294 trading sessions.
The current Speculative Portfolio drawdown is 26.80%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -69.03% | Nov 22, 2021 | 226 | Oct 14, 2022 | 294 | Dec 15, 2023 | 520 |
| -52.71% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 56 | Jun 8, 2020 | 76 |
| -48.89% | Oct 2, 2018 | 58 | Dec 24, 2018 | 232 | Nov 25, 2019 | 290 |
| -45.43% | Jan 24, 2025 | 52 | Apr 8, 2025 | — | — | — |
| -45.18% | Feb 18, 2011 | 127 | Aug 19, 2011 | 423 | Apr 29, 2013 | 550 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.93, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| ^GSPC | TSLA | NVDA | MSFT | TECL | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ^GSPC | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.81 |
| TSLA | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| NVDA | 0.60 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| MSFT | 0.72 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| TECL | 0.89 | 0.47 | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | 0.52 | 0.70 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Portfolio | 0.81 | 0.62 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 1.00 |