Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 15.87% |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index ETF | Intermediate Core Bond | 4.70% |
HEDJ WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund | Europe Equities | 22% |
PGHY Invesco Global Short Term High Yield Bond ETF | High Yield Bonds | 17.09% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 33% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | REIT | 7.34% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Optimal, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 8, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of XLRE
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Optimal returned -1.12% Year-To-Date and 10.59% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Optimal | 0.20% | -1.48% | -1.12% | 0.45% | 12.80% | 13.46% | 8.74% | 10.59% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
HEDJ WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund | -0.27% | -1.35% | -0.72% | 3.03% | 12.38% | 11.82% | 10.43% | 10.25% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 1.61% | -4.14% | 3.82% | 1.04% | 2.32% | 7.60% | 4.11% | 6.16% |
PGHY Invesco Global Short Term High Yield Bond ETF | 0.51% | -0.39% | 0.48% | 1.92% | 6.66% | 8.72% | 4.34% | 4.55% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.90% | 1.85% | 4.01% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index ETF | 0.23% | -1.25% | 0.00% | 0.66% | 4.96% | 3.91% | 0.59% | 2.04% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 9, 2015, Optimal's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.85%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.8 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -9.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Optimal closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -7.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.36% | 0.65% | -4.01% | 0.98% | -1.12% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.94% | 0.85% | -3.39% | 0.22% | 4.40% | 2.40% | 1.23% | 1.26% | 2.30% | 2.12% | -0.11% | 0.18% | 15.15% |
| 2024 | 0.80% | 3.64% | 1.71% | -3.13% | 3.38% | 1.85% | 0.04% | 1.59% | 1.57% | -1.59% | 2.46% | -0.36% | 12.39% |
| 2023 | 7.16% | 0.17% | 3.79% | 0.52% | 1.62% | 4.12% | 2.02% | -1.29% | -3.02% | -1.79% | 7.23% | 4.14% | 26.92% |
| 2022 | -4.35% | -3.84% | 1.81% | -5.31% | -0.28% | -5.79% | 6.76% | -3.77% | -6.15% | 3.57% | 5.10% | -4.64% | -16.64% |
| 2021 | 0.06% | 0.33% | 3.00% | 3.05% | 0.35% | 2.82% | 1.75% | 2.17% | -3.47% | 3.95% | -0.19% | 2.39% | 17.20% |
Benchmark Metrics
Optimal has an annualized alpha of 2.24%, beta of 0.64, and R² of 0.92 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 09, 2015.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (67.27%) than losses (65.45%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.24% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.64 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 2.24%
- Beta
- 0.64
- R²
- 0.92
- Upside Capture
- 67.27%
- Downside Capture
- 65.45%
Expense Ratio
Optimal has an expense ratio of 0.28%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Optimal ranks 33 for risk / return — below 33% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.03 | 0.88 | +0.15 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.56 | 1.37 | +0.19 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.54 | 1.39 | +0.15 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.34 | 6.43 | +0.91 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
HEDJ WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund | 33 | 0.65 | 1.04 | 1.15 | 1.01 | 3.77 |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 15 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 1.04 | 0.24 | 0.82 |
PGHY Invesco Global Short Term High Yield Bond ETF | 57 | 1.11 | 1.64 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 6.65 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index ETF | 54 | 1.10 | 1.58 | 1.19 | 1.72 | 5.46 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Optimal provided a 2.81% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.81% | 2.84% | 3.41% | 3.45% | 2.36% | 1.83% | 2.12% | 2.23% | 2.51% | 2.19% | 2.48% | 3.41% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
HEDJ WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund | 1.64% | 1.63% | 3.28% | 3.31% | 2.83% | 2.08% | 2.65% | 1.82% | 2.73% | 2.27% | 2.74% | 9.43% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 3.36% | 3.45% | 3.43% | 3.31% | 3.70% | 2.61% | 3.15% | 3.06% | 3.78% | 3.25% | 4.22% | 1.09% |
PGHY Invesco Global Short Term High Yield Bond ETF | 7.16% | 7.24% | 7.49% | 7.87% | 5.12% | 5.17% | 5.45% | 5.32% | 5.45% | 5.52% | 6.26% | 4.60% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond Index ETF | 4.13% | 4.01% | 3.79% | 3.09% | 2.41% | 3.42% | 2.95% | 2.75% | 2.88% | 2.69% | 3.01% | 3.02% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Optimal. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Optimal was 22.61%, occurring on Mar 20, 2020. Recovery took 77 trading sessions.
The current Optimal drawdown is 3.54%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -22.61% | Feb 20, 2020 | 22 | Mar 20, 2020 | 77 | Jul 10, 2020 | 99 |
| -20.71% | Jan 4, 2022 | 197 | Oct 14, 2022 | 196 | Jul 28, 2023 | 393 |
| -12.63% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 39 | Jun 4, 2025 | 74 |
| -11.82% | Aug 30, 2018 | 80 | Dec 24, 2018 | 55 | Mar 15, 2019 | 135 |
| -11.37% | Dec 2, 2015 | 49 | Feb 11, 2016 | 110 | Jul 20, 2016 | 159 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.56, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | BIV | PGHY | XLRE | HEDJ | QQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.55 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 0.94 |
| BIL | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.02 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 |
| BIV | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| PGHY | 0.33 | -0.00 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| XLRE | 0.55 | -0.00 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| HEDJ | 0.74 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| QQQ | 0.91 | -0.00 | 0.03 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Portfolio | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.83 | 0.94 | 1.00 |