Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 7, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of VFSAX
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio | 0.57% | -2.33% | 1.03% | 2.57% | 13.03% | 9.81% | 5.05% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.72% | -3.44% | -3.66% | -1.51% | 17.36% | 18.55% | 11.91% | 14.12% |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.22% | -3.19% | 3.53% | 6.55% | 15.88% | 15.15% | 10.89% | 11.82% |
VSIAX Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.45% | -3.44% | 3.57% | 4.99% | 17.27% | 13.53% | 7.65% | 10.13% |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.37% | -5.68% | 1.69% | -0.29% | 1.58% | 6.53% | 2.85% | 4.67% |
VTIAX Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.65% | -2.29% | 3.43% | 7.20% | 28.80% | 15.89% | 7.55% | 8.98% |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 1.27% | -2.85% | 2.43% | 6.63% | 26.75% | 12.77% | 6.82% | 8.51% |
VFSAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.87% | -2.98% | 3.16% | 5.55% | 31.07% | 14.30% | 5.72% | — |
VEMAX Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.92% | -2.37% | 0.69% | 0.98% | 22.36% | 13.68% | 3.77% | 7.63% |
VBIRX Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.00% | -0.87% | -0.23% | 0.77% | 3.75% | 4.15% | 1.60% | 1.90% |
FCPVX Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund | 0.39% | -4.75% | 2.30% | 3.97% | 15.03% | 11.83% | 6.70% | 9.79% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 8, 2019, Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.61%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 9.5 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +4.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.76% | 2.66% | -4.78% | 0.57% | 1.03% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.80% | 0.43% | -0.90% | 0.30% | 2.58% | 2.73% | 0.09% | 2.89% | 1.51% | -0.02% | 1.20% | 0.61% | 13.95% |
| 2024 | -1.10% | 1.63% | 2.28% | -2.54% | 2.64% | 0.08% | 3.46% | 1.55% | 1.86% | -2.43% | 1.98% | -2.63% | 6.70% |
| 2023 | 5.34% | -2.52% | 0.73% | 0.54% | -1.92% | 3.13% | 2.70% | -2.10% | -2.71% | -2.27% | 5.80% | 4.79% | 11.49% |
| 2022 | -2.43% | -1.39% | -0.27% | -4.05% | 0.81% | -5.41% | 3.83% | -2.77% | -6.75% | 3.43% | 6.10% | -2.05% | -11.17% |
| 2021 | 0.17% | 2.75% | 2.11% | 2.64% | 1.49% | -0.31% | 0.03% | 1.24% | -2.15% | 2.16% | -2.23% | 3.07% | 11.33% |
Benchmark Metrics
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 0.52%, beta of 0.48, and R² of 0.83 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 08, 2019.
- This portfolio participated in 63.51% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 51.02% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.48 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.52%
- Beta
- 0.48
- R²
- 0.83
- Upside Capture
- 51.02%
- Downside Capture
- 63.51%
Expense Ratio
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio ranks 60 for risk / return — better than 60% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.51 | 0.88 | +0.63 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.10 | 1.37 | +0.73 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.21 | +0.10 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.95 | 1.39 | +0.56 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.06 | 6.43 | +1.62 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 50 | 1.00 | 1.52 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.30 |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 50 | 1.12 | 1.60 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 6.46 |
VSIAX Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 39 | 0.93 | 1.42 | 1.19 | 1.38 | 5.63 |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 5 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 1.04 | 0.18 | 0.69 |
VTIAX Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 86 | 1.86 | 2.44 | 1.37 | 2.62 | 10.15 |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 79 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.27 | 8.54 |
VFSAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 91 | 2.17 | 2.76 | 1.43 | 2.81 | 10.90 |
VEMAX Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 70 | 1.47 | 2.00 | 1.28 | 2.08 | 7.48 |
VBIRX Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 80 | 1.54 | 2.51 | 1.30 | 2.43 | 8.71 |
FCPVX Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund | 29 | 0.78 | 1.24 | 1.16 | 1.20 | 4.42 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio provided a 4.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.37% | 4.54% | 3.54% | 2.73% | 2.31% | 2.62% | 1.81% | 2.58% | 4.81% | 2.05% | 2.31% | 2.53% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.17% | 1.12% | 1.24% | 1.45% | 1.68% | 1.24% | 1.53% | 1.87% | 2.05% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.01% | 2.04% | 2.30% | 2.45% | 2.51% | 2.14% | 2.55% | 2.49% | 2.72% | 2.29% | 2.45% | 2.60% |
VSIAX Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.89% | 1.95% | 1.98% | 2.10% | 2.03% | 1.75% | 1.68% | 2.06% | 2.35% | 1.79% | 1.77% | 1.99% |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.92% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.91% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.92% | 3.39% | 4.73% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
VTIAX Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.90% | 3.15% | 3.33% | 3.22% | 3.04% | 3.05% | 2.10% | 3.04% | 3.16% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.84% |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 17.67% | 18.10% | 8.53% | 2.78% | 2.75% | 4.35% | 1.58% | 2.96% | 6.24% | 1.86% | 2.29% | 2.13% |
VFSAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.21% | 3.31% | 3.36% | 3.06% | 2.22% | 2.67% | 1.85% | 3.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VEMAX Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.64% | 2.74% | 3.13% | 3.47% | 4.05% | 2.57% | 1.87% | 3.20% | 2.85% | 2.31% | 2.51% | 3.25% |
VBIRX Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.60% | 3.83% | 3.37% | 2.41% | 1.46% | 1.22% | 1.77% | 2.24% | 2.03% | 1.66% | 1.50% | 1.41% |
FCPVX Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund | 9.92% | 10.15% | 6.13% | 5.20% | 5.92% | 7.95% | 0.46% | 3.49% | 36.44% | 3.64% | 7.12% | 11.09% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio was 22.43%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 141 trading sessions.
The current Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio drawdown is 4.79%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -22.43% | Jan 21, 2020 | 44 | Mar 23, 2020 | 141 | Oct 12, 2020 | 185 |
| -18.1% | Nov 9, 2021 | 235 | Oct 14, 2022 | 349 | Mar 7, 2024 | 584 |
| -8.21% | Oct 1, 2024 | 130 | Apr 8, 2025 | 23 | May 12, 2025 | 153 |
| -6.15% | Mar 2, 2026 | 21 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -3.8% | Oct 13, 2020 | 12 | Oct 28, 2020 | 8 | Nov 9, 2020 | 20 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.10, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | VBIRX | VGSLX | VEMAX | FCPVX | FISMX | VVIAX | VSIAX | VFIAX | VFSAX | VTRIX | VTIAX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| VBIRX | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.19 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.09 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| VGSLX | 0.63 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.52 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| VEMAX | 0.65 | -0.02 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 0.76 |
| FCPVX | 0.77 | -0.01 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.87 | 0.98 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.89 |
| FISMX | 0.70 | 0.09 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| VVIAX | 0.83 | -0.00 | 0.69 | 0.55 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| VSIAX | 0.79 | -0.00 | 0.69 | 0.56 | 0.98 | 0.69 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.90 |
| VFIAX | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| VFSAX | 0.77 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| VTRIX | 0.77 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.91 |
| VTIAX | 0.79 | 0.06 | 0.56 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Portfolio | 0.87 | 0.15 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.00 |