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Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 7, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of VFSAX

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio
0.57%-2.33%1.03%2.57%13.03%9.81%5.05%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.72%-3.44%-3.66%-1.51%17.36%18.55%11.91%14.12%
VVIAX
Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.22%-3.19%3.53%6.55%15.88%15.15%10.89%11.82%
VSIAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.45%-3.44%3.57%4.99%17.27%13.53%7.65%10.13%
VGSLX
Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.37%-5.68%1.69%-0.29%1.58%6.53%2.85%4.67%
VTIAX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.65%-2.29%3.43%7.20%28.80%15.89%7.55%8.98%
VTRIX
Vanguard International Value Fund
1.27%-2.85%2.43%6.63%26.75%12.77%6.82%8.51%
VFSAX
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.87%-2.98%3.16%5.55%31.07%14.30%5.72%
VEMAX
Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.92%-2.37%0.69%0.98%22.36%13.68%3.77%7.63%
VBIRX
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.00%-0.87%-0.23%0.77%3.75%4.15%1.60%1.90%
FCPVX
Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund
0.39%-4.75%2.30%3.97%15.03%11.83%6.70%9.79%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 8, 2019, Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.61%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 9.5 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +4.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.76%2.66%-4.78%0.57%1.03%
20251.80%0.43%-0.90%0.30%2.58%2.73%0.09%2.89%1.51%-0.02%1.20%0.61%13.95%
2024-1.10%1.63%2.28%-2.54%2.64%0.08%3.46%1.55%1.86%-2.43%1.98%-2.63%6.70%
20235.34%-2.52%0.73%0.54%-1.92%3.13%2.70%-2.10%-2.71%-2.27%5.80%4.79%11.49%
2022-2.43%-1.39%-0.27%-4.05%0.81%-5.41%3.83%-2.77%-6.75%3.43%6.10%-2.05%-11.17%
20210.17%2.75%2.11%2.64%1.49%-0.31%0.03%1.24%-2.15%2.16%-2.23%3.07%11.33%

Benchmark Metrics

Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 0.52%, beta of 0.48, and R² of 0.83 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 08, 2019.

  • This portfolio participated in 63.51% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 51.02% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • Beta of 0.48 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
0.52%
Beta
0.48
0.83
Upside Capture
51.02%
Downside Capture
63.51%

Expense Ratio

Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio ranks 60 for risk / return — better than 60% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Risk / Return Rank: 6060
Overall Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6868
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Sortino Ratio Rank: 6666
Sortino Ratio Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Omega Ratio Rank: 6767
Omega Ratio Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Calmar Ratio Rank: 5151
Calmar Ratio Rank
Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Martin Ratio Rank: 4949
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.51

0.88

+0.63

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.10

1.37

+0.73

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.31

1.21

+0.10

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.95

1.39

+0.56

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

8.06

6.43

+1.62


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
501.001.521.231.537.30
VVIAX
Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
501.121.601.241.446.46
VSIAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
390.931.421.191.385.63
VGSLX
Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares
50.130.291.040.180.69
VTIAX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
861.862.441.372.6210.15
VTRIX
Vanguard International Value Fund
791.672.251.332.278.54
VFSAX
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
912.172.761.432.8110.90
VEMAX
Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
701.472.001.282.087.48
VBIRX
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares
801.542.511.302.438.71
FCPVX
Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund
290.781.241.161.204.42

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.51
  • 5-Year: 0.57
  • All Time: 0.68

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio provided a 4.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio4.37%4.54%3.54%2.73%2.31%2.62%1.81%2.58%4.81%2.05%2.31%2.53%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.17%1.12%1.24%1.45%1.68%1.24%1.53%1.87%2.05%1.78%2.02%2.10%
VVIAX
Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.01%2.04%2.30%2.45%2.51%2.14%2.55%2.49%2.72%2.29%2.45%2.60%
VSIAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.89%1.95%1.98%2.10%2.03%1.75%1.68%2.06%2.35%1.79%1.77%1.99%
VGSLX
Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.92%3.92%3.85%3.91%3.91%2.56%3.92%3.39%4.73%4.23%4.82%3.92%
VTIAX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.90%3.15%3.33%3.22%3.04%3.05%2.10%3.04%3.16%2.73%2.93%2.84%
VTRIX
Vanguard International Value Fund
17.67%18.10%8.53%2.78%2.75%4.35%1.58%2.96%6.24%1.86%2.29%2.13%
VFSAX
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.21%3.31%3.36%3.06%2.22%2.67%1.85%3.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VEMAX
Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.64%2.74%3.13%3.47%4.05%2.57%1.87%3.20%2.85%2.31%2.51%3.25%
VBIRX
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.60%3.83%3.37%2.41%1.46%1.22%1.77%2.24%2.03%1.66%1.50%1.41%
FCPVX
Fidelity Small Cap Value Fund
9.92%10.15%6.13%5.20%5.92%7.95%0.46%3.49%36.44%3.64%7.12%11.09%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio was 22.43%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 141 trading sessions.

The current Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio drawdown is 4.79%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-22.43%Jan 21, 202044Mar 23, 2020141Oct 12, 2020185
-18.1%Nov 9, 2021235Oct 14, 2022349Mar 7, 2024584
-8.21%Oct 1, 2024130Apr 8, 202523May 12, 2025153
-6.15%Mar 2, 202621Mar 30, 2026
-3.8%Oct 13, 202012Oct 28, 20208Nov 9, 202020

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.10, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkVBIRXVGSLXVEMAXFCPVXFISMXVVIAXVSIAXVFIAXVFSAXVTRIXVTIAXPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.010.630.650.770.700.830.791.000.770.770.790.87
VBIRX0.011.000.19-0.02-0.010.09-0.00-0.000.010.100.030.060.15
VGSLX0.630.191.000.390.660.520.690.690.630.560.560.560.74
VEMAX0.65-0.020.391.000.560.740.550.560.650.810.810.860.76
FCPVX0.77-0.010.660.561.000.690.870.980.770.720.750.730.89
FISMX0.700.090.520.740.691.000.670.690.700.930.900.920.86
VVIAX0.83-0.000.690.550.870.671.000.890.830.710.760.730.88
VSIAX0.79-0.000.690.560.980.690.891.000.790.720.760.730.90
VFIAX1.000.010.630.650.770.700.830.791.000.770.770.790.87
VFSAX0.770.100.560.810.720.930.710.720.771.000.920.960.91
VTRIX0.770.030.560.810.750.900.760.760.770.921.000.970.91
VTIAX0.790.060.560.860.730.920.730.730.790.960.971.000.92
Portfolio0.870.150.740.760.890.860.880.900.870.910.910.921.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Feb 8, 2019