The sky and the pit
A mixture of low volatility stocks with predictable (low) returns and high volatility stocks with (perhaps) high returns.
Asset Allocation
Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 16.25% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.50% | |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | Industrials | 2.50% |
DBSCX Doubleline Selective Credit Fund | Multisector Bonds | 4.50% |
ENIAX SEI Institutional Investments Trust Opportunistic Income Fund | Ultrashort Bond | 16.25% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | Technology | 2.50% |
FLOT iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF | Corporate Bonds | 16.25% |
HICOX Colorado Bond Shares A Tax Exempt Fund | Municipal Bonds | 4.50% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | Healthcare | 2.50% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 2.50% |
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Fund | Nontraditional Bonds | 2% |
USD=X USD Cash | -900% | |
USFR WisdomTree Bloomberg Floating Rate Treasury Fund | Government Bonds | 16.25% |
VKTX Viking Therapeutics, Inc. | Healthcare | 2.50% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | Money Market | 909% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in The sky and the pit, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced every 3 months.
The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 29, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of VKTX
Returns By Period
YTD | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 | 1.24% | -1.42% | 5.42% | 15.91% | 14.73% | 11.02% |
The sky and the pit | -1.68% | -2.18% | 26.97% | 42.66% | 47.51% | N/A |
Portfolio components: | ||||||
HICOX Colorado Bond Shares A Tax Exempt Fund | 1.06% | 0.75% | 3.16% | 7.05% | 3.86% | 4.40% |
DBSCX Doubleline Selective Credit Fund | 1.49% | 1.08% | 2.88% | 8.57% | 2.64% | 4.10% |
ENIAX SEI Institutional Investments Trust Opportunistic Income Fund | 1.00% | 0.37% | 3.26% | 7.65% | 4.69% | 3.98% |
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Fund | 1.36% | 0.76% | 1.27% | 4.45% | 6.59% | 6.62% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.60% | 4.34% | 2.40% | 1.65% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.67% | 0.32% | 2.29% | 4.96% | 2.42% | 1.69% |
USFR WisdomTree Bloomberg Floating Rate Treasury Fund | 0.75% | 0.33% | 2.46% | 5.18% | 2.70% | 2.47% |
FLOT iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF | 0.81% | 0.42% | 2.82% | 5.93% | 3.19% | 2.49% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | -6.98% | 4.04% | 4.67% | 51.86% | 77.57% | 72.31% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.88% | -6.37% | 59.44% | 49.20% | 60.88% | 79.19% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 19.46% | 13.70% | -3.78% | 18.47% | 47.49% | 31.81% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | -5.25% | 0.68% | 9.02% | 45.64% | 36.97% | 36.49% |
VKTX Viking Therapeutics, Inc. | -28.26% | -11.85% | -54.98% | -66.12% | 35.02% | N/A |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | -4.84% | -7.40% | -2.71% | 3.69% | 24.61% | 18.62% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of The sky and the pit, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1.46% | -8.36% | -1.68% | ||||||||||
2024 | 7.15% | 29.99% | 12.64% | -8.89% | 13.61% | 1.46% | -0.19% | -2.09% | 4.23% | 8.18% | 18.26% | -3.05% | 108.14% |
2023 | 22.68% | 3.62% | 15.34% | 2.56% | 4.71% | 9.00% | 1.58% | -1.65% | -1.83% | 9.96% | 9.25% | 8.15% | 118.69% |
2022 | -13.34% | 7.08% | 5.48% | -16.20% | -9.30% | -24.50% | 12.53% | -9.76% | -4.33% | 5.82% | -2.62% | -2.85% | -45.37% |
2021 | 8.36% | 23.11% | 20.64% | -0.48% | -24.94% | -1.08% | 10.93% | 10.21% | -6.08% | 29.03% | -1.70% | -13.65% | 49.56% |
2020 | 9.81% | -1.64% | -10.25% | 12.57% | 6.68% | 0.41% | 9.86% | 5.02% | -2.51% | 7.91% | 19.56% | 23.47% | 109.43% |
2019 | 1.07% | 4.79% | 4.63% | 7.66% | 14.79% | 12.49% | -1.75% | -1.28% | -4.96% | 5.87% | -4.50% | 0.22% | 43.89% |
2018 | -12.35% | 0.91% | -15.24% | 12.01% | -5.13% | -5.62% | 8.87% | -0.23% | -1.16% | -5.57% | -13.30% | -3.46% | -36.21% |
2017 | 0.78% | 1.79% | -0.28% | 2.55% | 12.26% | 1.91% | 5.34% | 14.66% | -0.82% | 16.54% | 21.41% | 18.34% | 140.74% |
2016 | -1.81% | 0.93% | 0.91% | 0.80% | 2.24% | 1.93% | 1.62% | -0.03% | 1.49% | 0.79% | 2.54% | 4.08% | 16.52% |
2015 | -0.03% | 0.03% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.75% | 0.02% | 1.62% | 0.42% | 0.73% | 1.98% |
Expense Ratio
The sky and the pit has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low compared to other funds. Below you can find the expense ratios of portfolio funds side-by-side and effortlessly compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
With an overall rank of 100, The sky and the pit is among the top 0% of portfolios on our website when it comes to balancing risk and reward. Below is a breakdown of how it compares using common performance measures.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
HICOX Colorado Bond Shares A Tax Exempt Fund | 2.42 | 3.54 | 1.60 | 0.70 | 14.06 |
DBSCX Doubleline Selective Credit Fund | 3.19 | 5.03 | 1.65 | 1.38 | 16.92 |
ENIAX SEI Institutional Investments Trust Opportunistic Income Fund | 7.52 | 21.06 | 8.29 | 10.77 | 252.95 |
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Fund | 1.91 | 2.78 | 1.40 | 0.37 | 4.82 |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 3.28 | — | — | — | — |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 16.78 | 253.24 | 149.79 | 65.50 | 4,953.37 |
USFR WisdomTree Bloomberg Floating Rate Treasury Fund | 13.47 | 46.26 | 10.86 | 12.44 | 659.72 |
FLOT iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF | 6.57 | 11.53 | 4.00 | 2.05 | 130.19 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | -0.03 | 0.35 | 1.04 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 1.54 | 2.25 | 1.22 | 1.37 | 9.02 |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 0.21 | 0.51 | 1.07 | 0.05 | 0.54 |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 1.66 | 2.30 | 1.28 | 0.65 | 4.19 |
VKTX Viking Therapeutics, Inc. | -0.68 | -0.90 | 0.89 | -0.94 | -1.73 |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 0.33 | 0.69 | 1.08 | 0.09 | 1.12 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — |
Dividends
Dividend yield
The sky and the pit provided a 46.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | 46.09% | 50.95% | 49.57% | 16.11% | 1.20% | 5.58% | 21.76% | 16.86% | 6.42% | 1.62% | 1.37% | 1.05% |
Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
HICOX Colorado Bond Shares A Tax Exempt Fund | 4.99% | 5.44% | 4.97% | 4.43% | 3.84% | 4.00% | 4.07% | 4.03% | 4.69% | 4.73% | 4.13% | 4.79% |
DBSCX Doubleline Selective Credit Fund | 6.42% | 7.10% | 6.77% | 6.68% | 4.68% | 4.67% | 6.05% | 7.45% | 9.04% | 9.75% | 9.53% | 2.40% |
ENIAX SEI Institutional Investments Trust Opportunistic Income Fund | 6.72% | 6.78% | 7.08% | 4.07% | 2.67% | 4.06% | 4.32% | 3.97% | 3.01% | 2.76% | 2.55% | 2.56% |
SVARX Spectrum Low Volatility Fund | 8.38% | 8.49% | 3.35% | 0.00% | 5.70% | 0.71% | 3.38% | 2.41% | 4.79% | 6.68% | 3.02% | 2.82% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 4.61% | 5.11% | 4.97% | 1.54% | 0.01% | 0.45% | 2.12% | 1.61% | 0.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 4.54% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USFR WisdomTree Bloomberg Floating Rate Treasury Fund | 4.95% | 5.17% | 5.12% | 1.78% | 0.02% | 0.40% | 2.08% | 1.67% | 1.03% | 0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FLOT iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF | 5.21% | 5.82% | 5.66% | 2.06% | 0.43% | 1.25% | 2.78% | 2.41% | 1.45% | 0.97% | 0.53% | 0.44% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% | 1.70% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 0.59% | 0.67% | 0.78% | 1.07% | 1.23% | 1.75% | 1.96% | 1.94% | 2.46% | 2.77% | 2.37% | 2.84% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.11% |
VKTX Viking Therapeutics, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 1.61% | 1.49% | 1.69% | 1.93% | 2.07% | 2.26% | 2.56% | 2.58% | 1.97% | 3.32% | 4.33% | 2.84% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the The sky and the pit. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the The sky and the pit was 60.07%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 449 trading sessions.
The current The sky and the pit drawdown is 0.86%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-60.07% | Nov 9, 2021 | 366 | Nov 9, 2022 | 449 | Feb 1, 2024 | 815 |
-48.56% | Dec 17, 2017 | 364 | Dec 15, 2018 | 599 | Aug 5, 2020 | 963 |
-37.73% | Apr 16, 2021 | 96 | Jul 20, 2021 | 87 | Oct 15, 2021 | 183 |
-16.95% | Jan 9, 2021 | 19 | Jan 27, 2021 | 12 | Feb 8, 2021 | 31 |
-16.51% | Jun 6, 2024 | 61 | Aug 5, 2024 | 67 | Oct 11, 2024 | 128 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The current The sky and the pit volatility is 8.59%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Diversification
Asset Correlations Table
USD=X | VMFXX | USFR | BTC-USD | BIL | FLOT | LLY | HICOX | VKTX | DBSCX | ENIAX | CAT | NVDA | FICO | SVARX | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD=X | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
VMFXX | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | -0.03 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.00 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
USFR | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
BTC-USD | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.06 |
BIL | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
FLOT | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.10 |
LLY | 0.00 | -0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
HICOX | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.13 | -0.04 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.25 |
VKTX | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.08 | -0.00 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
DBSCX | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.35 | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.23 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.25 |
ENIAX | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.28 |
CAT | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.18 | -0.04 | 0.19 | -0.06 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.26 |
NVDA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.23 |
FICO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.29 |
SVARX | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1.00 |