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MJ Outlook
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


MJ 100.00%EquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorTarget Weight
MJ
ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF
Small Cap Blend Equities, Cannabis
100%

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in MJ Outlook, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 7, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of MJ

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
MJ Outlook
3.32%-3.31%-19.67%-34.09%24.18%-13.53%-37.23%
MJ
ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF
3.32%-3.31%-19.67%-34.09%24.18%-13.53%-37.23%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 8, 2018, MJ Outlook's average daily return is -0.07%, while the average monthly return is -1.55%.

Historically, 35% of months were positive and 65% were negative. The best month was Aug 2025 with a return of +81.6%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -26.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 3 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 9 months.

On a daily basis, MJ Outlook closed higher 44% of trading days. The best single day was Dec 12, 2025 with a return of +42.8%, while the worst single day was Feb 11, 2021 at -24.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-12.49%-0.42%-11.33%3.95%-19.67%
2025-5.80%-11.18%-13.29%10.62%-12.70%-4.62%15.76%81.63%-1.01%-13.30%-22.09%20.37%13.07%
202411.76%-5.82%24.76%15.55%-22.57%-6.83%9.94%-12.60%5.64%-5.44%-17.89%-11.89%-23.97%
20237.51%-11.35%-13.30%-5.68%-9.34%-0.66%10.37%6.67%3.69%-21.10%7.99%3.86%-24.18%
2022-9.39%-4.18%7.80%-21.41%-11.53%-19.56%2.07%-0.68%-21.94%21.79%3.58%-26.42%-61.55%
202132.75%18.43%1.51%-6.64%0.94%-4.63%-12.73%-6.96%-13.88%-6.39%-10.47%-8.13%-22.79%

Benchmark Metrics

MJ Outlook has an annualized alpha of -27.45%, beta of 1.09, and R² of 0.15 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 08, 2018.

  • This portfolio participated in 159.13% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 7.78% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • R² of 0.15 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
-27.45%
Beta
1.09
0.15
Upside Capture
7.78%
Downside Capture
159.13%

Expense Ratio

MJ Outlook has an expense ratio of 0.75%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

MJ Outlook ranks 10 for risk / return — in the bottom 10% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


MJ Outlook Risk / Return Rank: 1010
Overall Rank
MJ Outlook Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MJ Outlook Sortino Ratio Rank: 1616
Sortino Ratio Rank
MJ Outlook Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
MJ Outlook Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
MJ Outlook Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.29

0.88

-0.60

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.23

1.37

-0.14

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.14

1.21

-0.07

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.50

1.39

-0.89

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

1.04

6.43

-5.39


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
MJ
ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF
250.291.231.140.501.04

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

MJ Outlook Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.29
  • 5-Year: -0.63
  • All Time: -0.51

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of MJ Outlook compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

MJ Outlook provided a 2.47% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024
Portfolio2.47%1.98%13.80%
MJ
ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF
2.47%1.98%13.80%

Monthly Dividends

The table below shows the monthly dividends paid by this portfolio.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
2025$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.59$0.59
2024$0.67$0.00$0.00$2.04$0.00$0.00$0.71$0.00$0.00$0.29$3.71

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the MJ Outlook. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the MJ Outlook was 96.55%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current MJ Outlook drawdown is 94.81%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-96.55%Sep 21, 20181645Apr 8, 2025
-25.29%Mar 7, 2018112Aug 14, 20189Aug 27, 2018121
-7.36%Feb 16, 20187Feb 27, 20184Mar 5, 201811
-6.29%Sep 13, 20181Sep 13, 20183Sep 18, 20184
-4.01%Aug 30, 20181Aug 30, 20182Sep 4, 20183

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 1 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkMJPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.450.45
MJ0.451.001.00
Portfolio0.451.001.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Feb 8, 2018