Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 50% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 25% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Simple 3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's Simple 3 returned 6.27% Year-To-Date and 10.88% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's Simple 3 | -2.02% | -1.23% | 6.27% | 6.32% | 19.42% | 16.50% | 12.50% | 10.88% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -3.63% | -8.61% | 0.06% | 2.63% | 30.01% | 29.73% | 17.65% | 12.97% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | -4.80% | -0.87% | 14.92% | 13.01% | 33.69% | 26.46% | 16.70% | 21.27% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.65% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 3.19% | 5.60% | 4.04% | 6.04% | 3.28% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 2, 2007, Rick's Simple 3's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.67%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.7 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +5.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -3.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's Simple 3 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -4.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.05% | 2.19% | -3.02% | 2.88% | 3.16% | -1.95% | 6.27% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.39% | -0.37% | -0.78% | -0.25% | 2.39% | 0.78% | 2.35% | 0.51% | 4.60% | 3.37% | 0.95% | -0.02% | 16.96% |
| 2024 | 1.48% | 1.90% | 2.91% | 0.76% | 1.32% | 2.36% | 0.30% | -0.01% | 1.90% | 2.67% | 1.65% | 1.30% | 20.13% |
| 2023 | 3.58% | 0.10% | 3.48% | 0.12% | 3.20% | 0.72% | 1.26% | 0.47% | -1.05% | 1.83% | 2.04% | 1.05% | 18.02% |
| 2022 | -2.14% | 0.53% | 2.21% | -1.47% | -1.85% | -0.89% | 3.08% | -0.66% | -1.59% | 0.35% | 1.14% | -2.56% | -3.95% |
| 2021 | -0.36% | -1.36% | 1.48% | 1.34% | 0.94% | 0.87% | 1.22% | 1.28% | -1.45% | 2.23% | 1.20% | 1.00% | 8.64% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's Simple 3 has an annualized alpha of 5.88%, beta of 0.22, and R2 of 0.42 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 02, 2007.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (29.64%) than losses (6.63%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.22 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.42 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.42 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 5.88%
- Beta
- 0.22
- R²
- 0.42
- Upside Capture
- 29.64%
- Downside Capture
- 6.63%
Expense Ratio
Rick's Simple 3 has an expense ratio of 0.48%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's Simple 3 ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's Simple 3 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.33 | 2.01 | +0.32 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.03 | 2.71 | +0.31 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.50 | 1.36 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.44 | 2.69 | +0.75 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.59 | 12.34 | +1.24 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 31 | 1.07 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.42 | 3.60 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 68 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 1.37 | 2.94 | 11.22 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 32 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 1.69 | 4.49 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's Simple 3 provided a 1.75% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.75% | 1.83% | 2.38% | 3.38% | 0.64% | 0.11% | 0.14% | 1.20% | 0.77% | 0.26% | 0.26% | 0.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.40% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.31% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Simple 3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Simple 3 was 10.20%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 205 trading sessions.
The current Rick's Simple 3 drawdown is 2.15%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -10.20%Nov 2008 | 1y 14d | 10mo | 1y 10moNov 2007 - Sep 2009 |
COVID crash2020 | -9.80%Mar 2020 | 24d | 1mo 14d | 2mo 8dFeb 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2025 selloff2025 | -7.01%Apr 2025 | 1mo 17d | 1mo 26d | 3mo 13dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2015 pullback2015 | -6.63%Aug 2015 | 4mo 14d | 10mo 9d | 1y 2moApr 2015 - Jun 2016 |
2013 pullback2013 | -6.37%Jun 2013 | 8mo 26d | 7mo 22d | 1y 4moOct 2012 - Feb 2014 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.67, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 2.04 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.04, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Rick's Simple 3 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 2, 2007 | 0.61 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while UUP has the lowest at -0.20.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Rick's Simple 3 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's Simple 3 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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