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Rick's Simple 3
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IAU 25.00%UUP 50.00%QQQ 25.00%CommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's Simple 3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 6, 2026, the Rick's Simple 3 returned 6.27% Year-To-Date and 10.88% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.47%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Rick's Simple 3
-2.02%-1.23%6.27%6.32%19.42%16.50%12.50%10.88%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-3.63%-8.61%0.06%2.63%30.01%29.73%17.65%12.97%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
-4.80%-0.87%14.92%13.01%33.69%26.46%16.70%21.27%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
0.65%2.49%3.66%3.19%5.60%4.04%6.04%3.28%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 2, 2007, Rick's Simple 3's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.67%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.7 years.

Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +5.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -3.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Rick's Simple 3 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -4.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.05%2.19%-3.02%2.88%3.16%-1.95%6.27%
20252.39%-0.37%-0.78%-0.25%2.39%0.78%2.35%0.51%4.60%3.37%0.95%-0.02%16.96%
20241.48%1.90%2.91%0.76%1.32%2.36%0.30%-0.01%1.90%2.67%1.65%1.30%20.13%
20233.58%0.10%3.48%0.12%3.20%0.72%1.26%0.47%-1.05%1.83%2.04%1.05%18.02%
2022-2.14%0.53%2.21%-1.47%-1.85%-0.89%3.08%-0.66%-1.59%0.35%1.14%-2.56%-3.95%
2021-0.36%-1.36%1.48%1.34%0.94%0.87%1.22%1.28%-1.45%2.23%1.20%1.00%8.64%

Benchmark Metrics

Rick's Simple 3 has an annualized alpha of 5.88%, beta of 0.22, and R2 of 0.42 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 02, 2007.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (29.64%) than losses (6.63%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.22 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.42 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.42 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
5.88%
Beta
0.22
0.42
Upside Capture
29.64%
Downside Capture
6.63%

Expense Ratio

Rick's Simple 3 has an expense ratio of 0.48%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Rick's Simple 3 ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Rick's Simple 3 Risk / Return Rank: 5555
Overall Rank
Rick's Simple 3 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4747
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Rick's Simple 3 Sortino Ratio Rank: 3838
Sortino Ratio Rank
Rick's Simple 3 Omega Ratio Rank: 7575
Omega Ratio Rank
Rick's Simple 3 Calmar Ratio Rank: 6060
Calmar Ratio Rank
Rick's Simple 3 Martin Ratio Rank: 5454
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's Simple 3 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.33

2.01

+0.32

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

3.03

2.71

+0.31

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.50

1.36

+0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.44

2.69

+0.75

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.59

12.34

+1.24


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
311.071.451.221.423.60
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
682.112.721.372.9411.22
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
321.011.461.181.694.49

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Rick's Simple 3 Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.33
  • 5-Year: 1.82
  • 10-Year: 1.59
  • All Time: 1.20

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Rick's Simple 3 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's Simple 3 provided a 1.75% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.75%1.83%2.38%3.38%0.64%0.11%0.14%1.20%0.77%0.26%0.26%0.25%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.40%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.31%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's Simple 3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's Simple 3 was 10.20%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 205 trading sessions.

The current Rick's Simple 3 drawdown is 2.15%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Financial crisis2007–2009
-10.20%Nov 2008
1y 14d10mo
1y 10moNov 2007 - Sep 2009
COVID crash2020
-9.80%Mar 2020
24d1mo 14d
2mo 8dFeb 2020 - Apr 2020
2025 selloff2025
-7.01%Apr 2025
1mo 17d1mo 26d
3mo 13dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025
2015 pullback2015
-6.63%Aug 2015
4mo 14d10mo 9d
1y 2moApr 2015 - Jun 2016
2013 pullback2013
-6.37%Jun 2013
8mo 26d7mo 22d
1y 4moOct 2012 - Feb 2014

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.67, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.75

1.85

2.00

1.90

2.04

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.04, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

Rick's Simple 3 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Rick's Simple 3 has a 0.54 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.54

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.62

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.66

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.66

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 2, 2007

0.61


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while UUP has the lowest at -0.20.

UUP
-0.20
IAU
0.06
QQQ
0.90

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Rick's Simple 3. QQQ has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.70, while UUP has the lowest at 0.16.

UUP
0.16
IAU
0.40
QQQ
0.70

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

IAUUUPQQQ
IAU1.00-0.450.05
UUP-0.451.00-0.17
QQQ0.05-0.171.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Mar 2, 2007
Diversification Analysis

Find what Rick's Simple 3 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Rick's Simple 3 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification