Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 40% |
XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | Utilities Equities | 30% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 15% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 7.50% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 18, 2026, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned 3.01% Year-To-Date and 5.01% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.21% | 0.23% | 8.39% | 10.39% | 24.03% | 18.94% | 12.24% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | -0.87% | -0.78% | 3.01% | 3.21% | 9.79% | 8.70% | 5.21% | 5.01% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -0.68% | -11.70% | 23.93% | 25.35% | 24.10% | 10.49% | 11.33% | 7.94% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -2.27% | -7.13% | -1.95% | -2.68% | 24.58% | 28.86% | 18.70% | 12.11% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.53% | 0.93% | -0.64% | -0.69% | 3.39% | 2.64% | -1.26% | 0.56% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.30% | 0.03% | 0.32% | 0.45% | 3.02% | 4.06% | 1.74% | 1.62% |
XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | -1.33% | 1.18% | 4.87% | 5.49% | 13.82% | 13.14% | 10.06% | 9.14% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 6, 2006, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.47%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 12.3 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -6.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +3.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -3.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.94% | 5.07% | -1.67% | 1.02% | -2.09% | -1.12% | 3.01% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.89% | 1.89% | 1.18% | 0.32% | 0.71% | 1.17% | 1.40% | 0.58% | 2.56% | 1.37% | 1.45% | -1.61% | 13.64% |
| 2024 | -0.82% | -0.67% | 3.29% | -0.46% | 3.66% | -1.27% | 3.57% | 2.16% | 3.17% | -1.34% | 1.19% | -3.30% | 9.24% |
| 2023 | 1.46% | -3.92% | 3.79% | 0.94% | -2.99% | -0.07% | 1.37% | -2.22% | -3.13% | 0.08% | 3.53% | 2.10% | 0.56% |
| 2022 | -1.46% | 0.24% | 2.12% | -2.80% | 1.73% | -2.61% | 2.56% | -1.82% | -6.32% | 0.21% | 4.38% | -0.69% | -4.83% |
| 2021 | -0.69% | -2.46% | 1.96% | 2.53% | 0.35% | -0.59% | 2.41% | 0.90% | -2.41% | 1.73% | -0.84% | 3.43% | 6.28% |
Benchmark Metrics
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 4.04%, beta of 0.17, and R2 of 0.21 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 06, 2006.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (23.93%) than losses (11.08%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.17 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.21 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.21 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.04%
- Beta
- 0.17
- R²
- 0.21
- Upside Capture
- 23.93%
- Downside Capture
- 11.08%
Expense Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.20%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio ranks 24 for risk / return — below 24% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.54 | 1.94 | -0.40 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.10 | 2.64 | -0.55 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.35 | -0.08 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.38 | 2.65 | -0.27 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.74 | 11.88 | -5.14 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 38 | 1.30 | 1.79 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 6.37 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 24 | 0.90 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.01 | 2.82 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20 | 0.73 | 1.10 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 2.30 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 78 | 2.22 | 3.51 | 1.45 | 3.41 | 13.43 |
XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | 27 | 0.95 | 1.35 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 3.23 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio provided a 3.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.12% | 3.14% | 3.32% | 3.00% | 1.90% | 1.21% | 1.51% | 2.16% | 2.25% | 1.87% | 1.86% | 1.94% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.69% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.90% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.69% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | 2.68% | 2.71% | 2.96% | 3.39% | 2.92% | 2.79% | 3.14% | 2.95% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.41% | 3.67% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio was 15.86%, occurring on Mar 10, 2009. Recovery took 345 trading sessions.
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio drawdown is 3.83%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -15.86%Mar 2009 | 8mo 2d | 1y 4mo | 2y 11dJul 2008 - Jul 2010 |
2023 correction2023 | -13.32%Oct 2023 | 1y 7mo | 10mo | 2y 4moMar 2022 - Jul 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -11.14%Mar 2020 | 17d | 4mo 8d | 4mo 25dMar 2020 - Jul 2020 |
2016 pullback2016 | -7.51%Dec 2016 | 4mo 27d | 8mo 23d | 1y 1moJul 2016 - Aug 2017 |
2013 pullback2013 | -7.42%Jul 2013 | 2mo 5d | 9mo 24d | 11mo 29dMay 2013 - Apr 2014 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.58 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.51 | 1.62 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.62, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.27 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.33 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 6, 2006 | 0.33 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. XLU has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.49, while IEF has the lowest at -0.26.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification