XLB vs. NAIL
XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF) and NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - XLB is a Materials fund tracking the Materials Select Sector Index, while NAIL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, XLB returned 9.85%/yr vs 3.80%/yr for NAIL. A 0.60 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. XLB charges 0.13%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for NAIL.
Performance
XLB vs. NAIL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, XLB achieves a 10.66% return, which is significantly higher than NAIL's -23.54% return. Over the past 10 years, XLB has outperformed NAIL with an annualized return of 9.85%, while NAIL has yielded a comparatively lower 3.80% annualized return.
XLB
- 1D
- -1.32%
- 1M
- -3.16%
- YTD
- 10.66%
- 6M
- 16.01%
- 1Y
- 16.06%
- 3Y*
- 10.29%
- 5Y*
- 5.04%
- 10Y*
- 9.85%
NAIL
- 1D
- -0.92%
- 1M
- -3.69%
- YTD
- -23.54%
- 6M
- -33.60%
- 1Y
- -22.27%
- 3Y*
- -13.87%
- 5Y*
- -13.16%
- 10Y*
- 3.80%
XLB vs. NAIL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XLB Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF | 10.66% | 9.94% | 0.15% | 12.46% | -12.30% | 27.44% | 20.46% | 24.13% | -14.88% | 24.01% |
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | -23.54% | -40.43% | -22.83% | 259.61% | -75.23% | 168.20% | -32.08% | 184.63% | -73.96% | 268.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between XLB and NAIL is 0.68, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.68 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 19, 2015 | 0.60 |
The correlation between XLB and NAIL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.60 to 0.68 - a consistent structural relationship.
XLB vs. NAIL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
XLB
NAIL
Basic Materials
Consumer Cyclical
Industrials
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Financial Services
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Basic Materials
XLB
NAIL
Consumer Cyclical
XLB
NAIL
Industrials
XLB
NAIL
Communication Services
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Consumer Defensive
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Energy
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Financial Services
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Healthcare
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Real Estate
XLB
-
NAIL
Technology
XLB
-
NAIL
-
Utilities
XLB
-
NAIL
-
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Return for Risk
XLB vs. NAIL — Risk / Return Rank
XLB
NAIL
XLB vs. NAIL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) and Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| XLB | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +1.21 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.22 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.17 | 1.02 | +0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.30 | -0.33 | +1.63 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.02 | -0.58 | +4.60 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| XLB | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.95 | -0.26 | +1.21 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.27 | -0.15 | +0.42 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.48 | 0.04 | +0.44 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.35 | -0.00 | +0.35 |
Drawdowns
XLB vs. NAIL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum XLB drawdown since its inception was -59.83%, smaller than the maximum NAIL drawdown of -93.75%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for XLB and NAIL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| XLB | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -59.83% | -93.75% | +33.92% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -12.38% | -67.85% | +55.47% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -23.17% | -82.09% | +58.92% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -24.72% | -84.40% | +59.68% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -37.27% | -93.75% | +56.48% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -6.41% | -78.15% | +71.74% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -10.84% | -43.83% | +32.99% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 4.00% | 38.74% | -34.74% |
Volatility
XLB vs. NAIL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) is 5.32%, while Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) has a volatility of 21.13%. This indicates that XLB experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NAIL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| XLB | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.32% | 21.13% | -15.81% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 13.02% | 60.31% | -47.29% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 16.95% | 87.48% | -70.53% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 18.96% | 86.98% | -68.02% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 20.66% | 89.20% | -68.54% |
XLB vs. NAIL - Expense Ratio Comparison
XLB has a 0.13% expense ratio, which is lower than NAIL's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
XLB vs. NAIL - Dividend Comparison
XLB's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.75%, more than NAIL's 1.04% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | 1.04% | 1.55% | 0.63% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
XLB Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.75% | 1.92% | 1.92% | 2.00% | 2.26% | 1.62% | 1.72% | 1.98% | 2.20% | 1.66% | 1.95% | 2.24% |
Frequently Asked Questions
XLB and NAIL have a correlation of 0.68, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NAIL has higher volatility (21.13%) compared to XLB (5.32%). In terms of maximum drawdown, XLB dropped -59.83% vs NAIL's -93.75%.
On 10-year performance, XLB leads with 9.85% vs 3.80% for NAIL. On fees, XLB is cheaper at 0.13% per year. On volatility, XLB has been the lower-risk option at 5.32%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, XLB has performed better with a 9.85% return vs 3.80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
XLB is cheaper with a 0.13% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for NAIL.
XLB has the higher dividend yield at 1.75%, compared with 1.04% for NAIL.
XLB is categorized as Materials, while NAIL is Leveraged Equities. XLB tracks Materials Select Sector Index, while NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: State Street and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.13% for XLB and 0.99% for NAIL.
XLB currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.95 vs -0.26), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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