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VTIVX vs. FOCPX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VTIVX achieves a 7.80% return, which is significantly lower than FOCPX's 21.95% return. Over the past 10 years, VTIVX has underperformed FOCPX with an annualized return of 10.91%, while FOCPX has yielded a comparatively higher 22.02% annualized return.


VTIVX

1D
-2.58%
1M
-0.77%
YTD
7.80%
6M
8.61%
1Y
21.54%
3Y*
17.21%
5Y*
8.80%
10Y*
10.91%

FOCPX

1D
-5.07%
1M
0.14%
YTD
21.95%
6M
20.43%
1Y
51.59%
3Y*
32.83%
5Y*
18.08%
10Y*
22.02%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
7.80%20.01%13.68%19.72%-17.38%16.16%16.31%24.94%-7.89%19.16%
FOCPX
Fidelity OTC Portfolio
21.95%22.21%38.95%42.64%-32.08%24.94%46.75%39.20%-3.30%38.61%

Correlation

The correlation between VTIVX and FOCPX is 0.82, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.82

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.82

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.86

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.85

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 27, 2003

0.87

The correlation between VTIVX and FOCPX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.82 to 0.86 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

VTIVX vs. FOCPX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VTIVX
VTIVX Risk / Return Rank: 5353
Overall Rank
VTIVX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5252
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTIVX Sortino Ratio Rank: 4848
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTIVX Omega Ratio Rank: 5151
Omega Ratio Rank
VTIVX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5353
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTIVX Martin Ratio Rank: 6262
Martin Ratio Rank

FOCPX
FOCPX Risk / Return Rank: 8686
Overall Rank
FOCPX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9090
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FOCPX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7777
Sortino Ratio Rank
FOCPX Omega Ratio Rank: 7878
Omega Ratio Rank
FOCPX Calmar Ratio Rank: 9292
Calmar Ratio Rank
FOCPX Martin Ratio Rank: 9595
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VTIVXFOCPXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.86

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.76

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.38

1.50

-0.12

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.69

4.77

-2.08

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.85

20.93

-9.07

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VTIVX Sharpe Ratio is 2.06, which is comparable to the FOCPX Sharpe Ratio of 2.92. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VTIVX and FOCPX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VTIVXFOCPXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.06

2.92

-0.86

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.65

0.80

-0.15

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.74

0.98

-0.24

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.54

0.65

-0.11

Drawdowns

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VTIVX drawdown since its inception was -51.69%, smaller than the maximum FOCPX drawdown of -70.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTIVX and FOCPX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VTIVXFOCPXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.69%

-70.25%

+18.56%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.30%

-11.29%

+2.99%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-13.40%

-24.82%

+11.42%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-25.10%

-37.05%

+11.95%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-31.42%

-37.05%

+5.63%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-2.95%

-5.07%

+2.12%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.33%

-17.00%

+10.67%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.88%

2.57%

-0.69%

Volatility

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) is 3.88%, while Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX) has a volatility of 7.39%. This indicates that VTIVX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than FOCPX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VTIVXFOCPXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.88%

7.39%

-3.51%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.81%

14.89%

-6.08%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.85%

18.47%

-7.62%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

13.54%

22.75%

-9.21%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.81%

22.49%

-7.68%

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VTIVX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than FOCPX's 0.73% expense ratio.


Dividends

VTIVX vs. FOCPX - Dividend Comparison

VTIVX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.31%, less than FOCPX's 6.38% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FOCPX
Fidelity OTC Portfolio
6.38%7.78%16.76%0.05%4.06%11.53%6.23%7.58%7.93%4.86%3.24%5.41%
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
2.31%2.50%2.36%2.27%2.75%15.40%1.90%2.23%2.52%0.04%2.47%3.29%

Frequently Asked Questions


VTIVX and FOCPX have a correlation of 0.82, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

FOCPX has higher volatility (7.39%) compared to VTIVX (3.88%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTIVX dropped -51.69% vs FOCPX's -70.25%.

FOCPX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 2.06), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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