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VFORX vs. VTSNX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Institutional Shares (VTSNX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VFORX achieves a 7.09% return, which is significantly lower than VTSNX's 10.41% return. Over the past 10 years, VFORX has outperformed VTSNX with an annualized return of 10.25%, while VTSNX has yielded a comparatively lower 9.23% annualized return.


VFORX

1D
-2.37%
1M
-0.74%
YTD
7.09%
6M
7.87%
1Y
19.89%
3Y*
16.11%
5Y*
8.09%
10Y*
10.25%

VTSNX

1D
-3.59%
1M
-2.25%
YTD
10.41%
6M
12.83%
1Y
26.31%
3Y*
17.89%
5Y*
7.70%
10Y*
9.23%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
7.09%18.77%12.90%18.56%-17.00%14.55%15.48%23.86%-7.32%18.45%
VTSNX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Institutional Shares
10.41%32.24%5.38%15.29%-15.99%8.64%11.27%21.69%-14.41%27.54%

Correlation

The correlation between VFORX and VTSNX is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.94

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.90

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.90

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.91

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 3, 2011

0.92

The correlation between VFORX and VTSNX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.90 to 0.94 - a consistent structural relationship.

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
VFORX
VTSNX

Technology

27.4%
18.1%

Financial Services

16.1%
22.3%

Industrials

12.3%
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

9.4%
8.4%

Healthcare

8.3%
7.1%

Communication Services

8.0%
4.4%

Consumer Defensive

4.8%
5.0%

Energy

4.3%
5.2%

Basic Materials

4.3%
7.6%

Utilities

2.7%
3.2%

Real Estate

2.5%
2.6%

Technology

VFORX
27.4%
VTSNX
18.1%

Financial Services

VFORX
16.1%
VTSNX
22.3%

Industrials

VFORX
12.3%
VTSNX
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

VFORX
9.4%
VTSNX
8.4%

Healthcare

VFORX
8.3%
VTSNX
7.1%

Communication Services

VFORX
8.0%
VTSNX
4.4%

Consumer Defensive

VFORX
4.8%
VTSNX
5.0%

Energy

VFORX
4.3%
VTSNX
5.2%

Basic Materials

VFORX
4.3%
VTSNX
7.6%

Utilities

VFORX
2.7%
VTSNX
3.2%

Real Estate

VFORX
2.5%
VTSNX
2.6%

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Return for Risk

VFORX vs. VTSNX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VFORX
VFORX Risk / Return Rank: 5353
Overall Rank
VFORX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5252
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VFORX Sortino Ratio Rank: 4848
Sortino Ratio Rank
VFORX Omega Ratio Rank: 5252
Omega Ratio Rank
VFORX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5252
Calmar Ratio Rank
VFORX Martin Ratio Rank: 6161
Martin Ratio Rank

VTSNX
VTSNX Risk / Return Rank: 4242
Overall Rank
VTSNX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4242
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTSNX Sortino Ratio Rank: 3838
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTSNX Omega Ratio Rank: 4343
Omega Ratio Rank
VTSNX Calmar Ratio Rank: 4242
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTSNX Martin Ratio Rank: 4646
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Institutional Shares (VTSNX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VFORXVTSNXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.22

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.35

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.38

1.34

+0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.67

2.38

+0.29

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.72

9.35

+2.38

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VFORX Sharpe Ratio is 2.05, which is comparable to the VTSNX Sharpe Ratio of 1.83. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VFORX and VTSNX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VFORXVTSNXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.05

1.83

+0.22

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.65

0.51

+0.14

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.75

0.58

+0.17

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.49

0.40

+0.09

Drawdowns

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VFORX drawdown since its inception was -51.63%, which is greater than VTSNX's maximum drawdown of -35.72%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFORX and VTSNX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VFORXVTSNXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.63%

-35.72%

-15.91%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.70%

-11.29%

+3.59%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-12.12%

-13.14%

+1.02%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.32%

-29.55%

+5.23%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.35%

-35.72%

+6.37%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-2.75%

-4.33%

+1.58%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.77%

-8.09%

+1.32%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.75%

2.87%

-1.12%

Volatility

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) is 3.62%, while Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Institutional Shares (VTSNX) has a volatility of 5.52%. This indicates that VFORX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VTSNX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VFORXVTSNXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.62%

5.52%

-1.90%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.17%

12.51%

-4.34%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.04%

14.67%

-4.63%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

12.47%

15.12%

-2.65%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.69%

15.96%

-2.27%

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both VFORX and VTSNX have an expense ratio of 0.08%, making them cost-effective options compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios typically range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VFORX vs. VTSNX - Dividend Comparison

VFORX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.58%, less than VTSNX's 2.74% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
2.58%2.77%2.86%2.38%2.60%20.68%2.06%2.28%2.58%0.04%2.40%2.99%
VTSNX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Institutional Shares
2.74%3.17%3.36%3.24%3.08%3.08%2.13%3.16%3.19%2.75%2.95%2.86%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.94, VFORX and VTSNX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VTSNX has higher volatility (5.52%) compared to VFORX (3.62%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFORX dropped -51.63% vs VTSNX's -35.72%.

VFORX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.05 vs 1.83), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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