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UST vs. TNA
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UST vs. TNA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -3.85% return, which is significantly lower than TNA's 40.38% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed TNA with an annualized return of -2.33%, while TNA has yielded a comparatively higher 7.38% annualized return.


UST

1D
-0.17%
1M
-2.60%
YTD
-3.85%
6M
-3.76%
1Y
3.53%
3Y*
-0.56%
5Y*
-7.13%
10Y*
-2.33%

TNA

1D
2.58%
1M
-1.87%
YTD
40.38%
6M
32.71%
1Y
101.66%
3Y*
24.04%
5Y*
-7.95%
10Y*
7.38%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UST vs. TNA - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-3.85%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares
40.38%9.82%7.21%26.24%-62.48%27.88%-7.82%71.88%-39.89%39.15%

Correlation

The correlation between UST and TNA is 0.24, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.24

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.17

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.08

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.10

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 2, 2010

-0.22

The correlation between UST and TNA shifts across timeframes, from -0.22 (all time) to 0.24 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

UST vs. TNA - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UST
TNA

Financial Services

96.7%
15.9%

Basic Materials

-

4.8%

Communication Services

-

2.5%

Consumer Cyclical

-

8.4%

Consumer Defensive

-

2.4%

Energy

-

6.2%

Healthcare

-

16.5%

Industrials

-

17.5%

Real Estate

-

6.2%

Technology

-

16.9%

Utilities

-

2.9%

Financial Services

UST
96.7%
TNA
15.9%

Basic Materials

UST

-

TNA
4.8%

Communication Services

UST

-

TNA
2.5%

Consumer Cyclical

UST

-

TNA
8.4%

Consumer Defensive

UST

-

TNA
2.4%

Energy

UST

-

TNA
6.2%

Healthcare

UST

-

TNA
16.5%

Industrials

UST

-

TNA
17.5%

Real Estate

UST

-

TNA
6.2%

Technology

UST

-

TNA
16.9%

Utilities

UST

-

TNA
2.9%

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Return for Risk

UST vs. TNA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1515
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1414
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1515
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

TNA
TNA Risk / Return Rank: 5858
Overall Rank
TNA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5858
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TNA Sortino Ratio Rank: 5151
Sortino Ratio Rank
TNA Omega Ratio Rank: 4747
Omega Ratio Rank
TNA Calmar Ratio Rank: 6969
Calmar Ratio Rank
TNA Martin Ratio Rank: 6363
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UST vs. TNA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


USTTNADifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.38

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.66

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.07

1.27

-0.20

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.41

3.14

-2.74

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.14

10.30

-9.17

UST vs. TNA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UST Sharpe Ratio is 0.38, which is lower than the TNA Sharpe Ratio of 1.76. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UST and TNA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


USTTNADifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.38

1.76

-1.38

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.46

-0.12

-0.34

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.18

0.11

-0.29

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.19

0.22

-0.04

Drawdowns

UST vs. TNA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum TNA drawdown of -88.09%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and TNA.


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Drawdown Indicators


USTTNADifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-47.99%

-88.09%

+40.10%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.75%

-32.53%

+23.78%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-16.74%

-65.78%

+49.04%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.97%

-82.36%

+38.39%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-47.99%

-88.09%

+40.10%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-38.94%

-40.63%

+1.69%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.14%

-33.91%

+18.77%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.11%

9.90%

-6.79%

Volatility

UST vs. TNA - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.02%, while Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (TNA) has a volatility of 19.70%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TNA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USTTNADifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.02%

19.70%

-16.68%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.64%

41.78%

-35.14%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.29%

58.10%

-48.81%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.47%

67.48%

-52.01%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.18%

68.52%

-55.34%

UST vs. TNA - Expense Ratio Comparison

UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than TNA's 1.14% expense ratio.


Dividends

UST vs. TNA - Dividend Comparison

UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.52%, more than TNA's 0.43% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares
0.43%0.78%0.93%1.27%0.31%0.06%0.03%0.44%0.36%0.15%0.00%0.00%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.52%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


UST and TNA have a correlation of 0.24, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TNA has higher volatility (19.70%) compared to UST (3.02%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs TNA's -88.09%.

On 10-year performance, TNA leads with 7.38% vs -2.33% for UST. On fees, UST is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.02%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, TNA has performed better with a 7.38% return vs -2.33%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UST is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.14% for TNA.

UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.52%, compared with 0.43% for TNA.

UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while TNA is Leveraged Equities. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while TNA tracks Russell 2000 Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 1.14% for TNA.

TNA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.76 vs 0.38), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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