UST vs. EDC
UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) and EDC (Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while EDC is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UST returned -2.33%/yr vs 6.85%/yr for EDC. At a correlation of -0.17, they often move in opposite directions. UST charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.33%/yr for EDC.
Performance
UST vs. EDC - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -3.85% return, which is significantly lower than EDC's 48.75% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed EDC with an annualized return of -2.33%, while EDC has yielded a comparatively higher 6.85% annualized return.
UST
- 1D
- -0.17%
- 1M
- -2.60%
- YTD
- -3.85%
- 6M
- -3.76%
- 1Y
- 3.53%
- 3Y*
- -0.56%
- 5Y*
- -7.13%
- 10Y*
- -2.33%
EDC
- 1D
- 5.30%
- 1M
- -13.15%
- YTD
- 48.75%
- 6M
- 54.72%
- 1Y
- 130.29%
- 3Y*
- 40.47%
- 5Y*
- -3.49%
- 10Y*
- 6.85%
UST vs. EDC - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | -3.85% | 10.26% | -6.19% | 0.16% | -30.19% | -7.81% | 18.83% | 13.34% | -1.09% | 3.21% |
EDC Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares | 48.75% | 94.58% | -2.00% | 7.48% | -60.25% | -20.81% | 6.49% | 43.92% | -49.87% | 138.61% |
Correlation
The correlation between UST and EDC is 0.25, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.25 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.07 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.05 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 2, 2010 | -0.17 |
The correlation between UST and EDC shifts across timeframes, from -0.17 (all time) to 0.25 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UST vs. EDC - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UST
EDC
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
UST
EDC
Basic Materials
UST
-
EDC
Communication Services
UST
-
EDC
Consumer Cyclical
UST
-
EDC
Consumer Defensive
UST
-
EDC
Energy
UST
-
EDC
Healthcare
UST
-
EDC
Industrials
UST
-
EDC
Real Estate
UST
-
EDC
Technology
UST
-
EDC
Utilities
UST
-
EDC
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Return for Risk
UST vs. EDC — Risk / Return Rank
UST
EDC
UST vs. EDC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UST | EDC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.69 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.78 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.35 | -0.28 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.41 | 3.45 | -3.05 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.14 | 11.91 | -10.78 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UST | EDC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.38 | 2.07 | -1.69 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.46 | -0.06 | -0.40 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.18 | 0.11 | -0.29 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.19 | 0.03 | +0.16 |
Drawdowns
UST vs. EDC - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum EDC drawdown of -92.54%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and EDC.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UST | EDC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -47.99% | -92.54% | +44.55% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.75% | -37.98% | +29.23% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -16.74% | -49.48% | +32.74% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -43.97% | -80.70% | +36.73% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -47.99% | -87.01% | +39.02% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.94% | -68.43% | +29.49% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.14% | -65.36% | +50.22% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.11% | 10.98% | -7.87% |
Volatility
UST vs. EDC - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.02%, while Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares (EDC) has a volatility of 32.98%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than EDC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UST | EDC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.02% | 32.98% | -29.96% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.64% | 56.90% | -50.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.29% | 63.31% | -54.02% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.47% | 57.41% | -41.94% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.18% | 61.03% | -47.85% |
UST vs. EDC - Expense Ratio Comparison
UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than EDC's 1.33% expense ratio.
Dividends
UST vs. EDC - Dividend Comparison
UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.52%, more than EDC's 1.15% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EDC Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares | 1.15% | 1.79% | 3.94% | 3.54% | 0.00% | 0.18% | 0.44% | 0.97% | 0.78% | 0.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 3.52% | 3.65% | 4.09% | 3.49% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 0.64% | 0.75% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UST and EDC have a correlation of 0.25, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
EDC has higher volatility (32.98%) compared to UST (3.02%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs EDC's -92.54%.
On 10-year performance, EDC leads with 6.85% vs -2.33% for UST. On fees, UST is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.02%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, EDC has performed better with a 6.85% return vs -2.33%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UST is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.33% for EDC.
UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.52%, compared with 1.15% for EDC.
UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while EDC is Leveraged Equities. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while EDC tracks MSCI Emerging Markets Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 1.33% for EDC.
EDC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.07 vs 0.38), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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