UPST vs. PGR
UPST (Upstart Holdings, Inc.) and PGR (The Progressive Corporation) are both stocks. Both are in the Financial Services sector — UPST in Credit Services, PGR in Insurance - Property & Casualty. Over the past 5 years, UPST returned -27.28%/yr vs 18.76%/yr for PGR. At a 0.02 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
UPST vs. PGR - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UPST achieves a -29.11% return, which is significantly lower than PGR's -6.42% return.
UPST
- 1D
- 4.24%
- 1M
- 7.04%
- YTD
- -29.11%
- 6M
- -33.92%
- 1Y
- -42.94%
- 3Y*
- -1.15%
- 5Y*
- -27.28%
- 10Y*
- —
PGR
- 1D
- -1.84%
- 1M
- 3.23%
- YTD
- -6.42%
- 6M
- -4.51%
- 1Y
- -23.65%
- 3Y*
- 18.74%
- 5Y*
- 18.76%
- 10Y*
- 23.25%
UPST vs. PGR - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. | -29.11% | -28.98% | 50.69% | 209.08% | -91.26% | 271.29% | 56.73% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | -6.42% | -3.02% | 51.39% | 23.16% | 26.81% | 10.84% | 2.26% |
Correlation
The correlation between UPST and PGR is -0.14, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.14 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.07 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.04 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 16, 2020 | 0.02 |
The correlation between UPST and PGR shifts across timeframes, from -0.14 (1 year) to 0.04 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
Fundamentals
UPST:
$0.47
PGR:
$19.23
UPST:
66.16
PGR:
10.41
UPST:
0.28
PGR:
0.08
UPST:
2.81
PGR:
1.34
UPST:
$1.16B
PGR:
$87.65B
UPST:
$810.61M
PGR:
$23.23B
UPST:
$67.66M
PGR:
$14.81B
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Return for Risk
UPST vs. PGR — Risk / Return Rank
UPST
PGR
UPST vs. PGR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) and The Progressive Corporation (PGR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UPST | PGR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.44 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.83 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.93 | 0.84 | +0.09 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.60 | -0.94 | +0.33 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.91 | -1.43 | +0.52 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UPST | PGR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.61 | -1.04 | +0.44 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.26 | 0.77 | -1.03 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.95 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.01 | 0.58 | -0.57 |
Drawdowns
UPST vs. PGR - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UPST drawdown since its inception was -96.90%, which is greater than PGR's maximum drawdown of -71.06%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UPST and PGR.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UPST | PGR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -96.90% | -71.06% | -25.84% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -71.21% | -25.27% | -45.94% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -72.72% | -30.35% | -42.37% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -96.90% | -30.35% | -66.55% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -30.35% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.05% | -26.74% | -65.31% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -76.19% | -14.53% | -61.66% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 47.16% | 18.79% | +28.37% |
Volatility
UPST vs. PGR - Volatility Comparison
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) has a higher volatility of 21.23% compared to The Progressive Corporation (PGR) at 7.57%. This indicates that UPST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than PGR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UPST | PGR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 21.23% | 7.57% | +13.66% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 50.15% | 16.95% | +33.20% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 71.16% | 22.76% | +48.40% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 103.83% | 24.55% | +79.28% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 114.00% | 24.48% | +89.52% |
Dividends
UPST vs. PGR - Dividend Comparison
UPST has not paid dividends to shareholders, while PGR's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.94%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6.94% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Financials
UPST vs. PGR - Financials Comparison
This section allows you to compare key financial metrics between Upstart Holdings, Inc. and The Progressive Corporation. You can select fields from income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements to easily visualize and compare the financial health of both companies.
Total Revenue: Total amount of money received from sales and other business activities
UPST vs. PGR - Profitability Comparison
UPST - Gross Margin
Gross margin is calculated as gross profit divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported a gross profit of 0.00 and revenue of 308.21M. Therefore, the gross margin over that period was 0.0%.
PGR - Gross Margin
Gross margin is calculated as gross profit divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The Progressive Corporation reported a gross profit of 6.66B and revenue of 22.74B. Therefore, the gross margin over that period was 29.3%.
UPST - Operating Margin
Operating margin is calculated as operating income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported an operating income of -7.52M and revenue of 308.21M, resulting in an operating margin of -2.4%.
PGR - Operating Margin
Operating margin is calculated as operating income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The Progressive Corporation reported an operating income of 3.68B and revenue of 22.74B, resulting in an operating margin of 16.2%.
UPST - Net Margin
Net margin is calculated as net income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported a net income of -6.65M and revenue of 308.21M, resulting in a net margin of -2.2%.
PGR - Net Margin
Net margin is calculated as net income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The Progressive Corporation reported a net income of 2.95B and revenue of 22.74B, resulting in a net margin of 13.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions
UPST and PGR have a correlation of -0.14, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UPST has higher volatility (21.23%) compared to PGR (7.57%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UPST dropped -96.90% vs PGR's -71.06%.
UPST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.61 vs -1.04), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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