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TLT vs. BTC-USD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and Bitcoin (BTC-USD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TLT achieves a -1.08% return, which is significantly higher than BTC-USD's -28.54% return. Over the past 10 years, TLT has underperformed BTC-USD with an annualized return of -1.85%, while BTC-USD has yielded a comparatively higher 59.68% annualized return.


TLT

1D
-0.52%
1M
-1.31%
YTD
-1.08%
6M
-1.51%
1Y
3.67%
3Y*
-2.05%
5Y*
-6.70%
10Y*
-1.85%

BTC-USD

1D
-1.22%
1M
-22.47%
YTD
-28.54%
6M
-31.02%
1Y
-40.89%
3Y*
33.16%
5Y*
10.82%
10Y*
59.68%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-1.08%4.25%-8.05%2.77%-31.23%-4.60%18.15%14.12%-1.61%9.18%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-28.54%-6.27%120.76%155.82%-64.23%59.40%304.57%94.10%-73.37%1,324.24%

Correlation

The correlation between TLT and BTC-USD is 0.06, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.06

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.03

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.01

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 23, 2012

-0.00

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Return for Risk

TLT vs. BTC-USD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TLT
TLT Risk / Return Rank: 1515
Overall Rank
TLT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TLT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
TLT Omega Ratio Rank: 1414
Omega Ratio Rank
TLT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1515
Calmar Ratio Rank
TLT Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

BTC-USD
BTC-USD Risk / Return Rank: 2828
Overall Rank
BTC-USD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Sortino Ratio Rank: 3333
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Omega Ratio Rank: 3333
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Calmar Ratio Rank: 4646
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Martin Ratio Rank: 1616
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TLTBTC-USDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.34

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.98

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.07

0.86

+0.21

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.49

-0.80

+1.28

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.19

-1.42

+2.61

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TLT Sharpe Ratio is 0.38, which is higher than the BTC-USD Sharpe Ratio of -0.95. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TLT and BTC-USD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TLTBTC-USDDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.38

-0.95

+1.34

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.42

0.20

-0.63

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.12

0.87

-1.00

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.25

1.13

-0.88

Drawdowns

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TLT drawdown since its inception was -48.35%, smaller than the maximum BTC-USD drawdown of -85.30%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TLT and BTC-USD.


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Drawdown Indicators


TLTBTC-USDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-48.35%

-85.30%

+36.95%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.58%

-51.21%

+43.63%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-19.18%

-51.21%

+32.03%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.70%

-76.67%

+32.97%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-48.35%

-83.80%

+35.45%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-40.92%

-49.86%

+8.94%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-13.83%

-42.32%

+28.49%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.08%

34.46%

-31.38%

Volatility

TLT vs. BTC-USD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is 2.65%, while Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has a volatility of 11.59%. This indicates that TLT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BTC-USD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TLTBTC-USDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.65%

11.59%

-8.94%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.51%

34.53%

-28.02%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.60%

35.67%

-26.07%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.85%

44.95%

-29.10%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.91%

56.71%

-41.80%

Frequently Asked Questions


TLT and BTC-USD have a correlation of 0.06, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

BTC-USD has higher volatility (11.59%) compared to TLT (2.65%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TLT dropped -48.35% vs BTC-USD's -85.30%.

TLT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.38 vs -0.95), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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