PGR vs. USD
PGR (The Progressive Corporation) is a stock, while USD (ProShares Ultra Semiconductors) is Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors Index (200%). Over the past 10 years, PGR returned 23.25%/yr vs 59.63%/yr for USD. At a 0.31 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
PGR vs. USD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, PGR achieves a -6.42% return, which is significantly lower than USD's 81.60% return. Over the past 10 years, PGR has underperformed USD with an annualized return of 23.25%, while USD has yielded a comparatively higher 59.63% annualized return.
PGR
- 1D
- -1.84%
- 1M
- 3.23%
- YTD
- -6.42%
- 6M
- -4.51%
- 1Y
- -23.65%
- 3Y*
- 18.74%
- 5Y*
- 18.76%
- 10Y*
- 23.25%
USD
- 1D
- 7.41%
- 1M
- -0.05%
- YTD
- 81.60%
- 6M
- 69.12%
- 1Y
- 218.18%
- 3Y*
- 115.96%
- 5Y*
- 65.20%
- 10Y*
- 59.63%
PGR vs. USD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PGR The Progressive Corporation | -6.42% | -3.02% | 51.39% | 23.16% | 26.81% | 10.84% | 41.48% | 25.14% | 9.39% | 61.59% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 81.60% | 62.08% | 139.64% | 228.79% | -68.57% | 104.27% | 68.16% | 110.37% | -26.88% | 81.72% |
Correlation
The correlation between PGR and USD is -0.29, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.29 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.14 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.02 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 1, 2007 | 0.31 |
The correlation between PGR and USD shifts across timeframes, from -0.29 (1 year) to 0.31 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
PGR vs. USD — Risk / Return Rank
PGR
USD
PGR vs. USD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| PGR | USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -4.48 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -4.57 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.84 | 1.43 | -0.60 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.94 | 6.91 | -7.85 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.43 | 19.73 | -21.16 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| PGR | USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -1.04 | 3.43 | -4.48 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.77 | 0.85 | -0.08 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.95 | 0.86 | +0.09 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.58 | 0.47 | +0.11 |
Drawdowns
PGR vs. USD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum PGR drawdown since its inception was -71.06%, smaller than the maximum USD drawdown of -88.63%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PGR and USD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| PGR | USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -71.06% | -88.63% | +17.57% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -25.27% | -31.80% | +6.53% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -30.35% | -64.46% | +34.11% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -30.35% | -77.85% | +47.50% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -30.35% | -77.85% | +47.50% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -26.74% | -16.10% | -10.64% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -14.53% | -32.34% | +17.81% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 18.79% | 11.11% | +7.68% |
Volatility
PGR vs. USD - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is 7.57%, while ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD) has a volatility of 28.47%. This indicates that PGR experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than USD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| PGR | USD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.57% | 28.47% | -20.90% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 16.95% | 50.89% | -33.94% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 22.76% | 64.16% | -41.40% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 24.55% | 77.00% | -52.45% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 24.48% | 69.51% | -45.03% |
Dividends
PGR vs. USD - Dividend Comparison
PGR's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.94%, more than USD's 0.25% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6.94% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 0.25% | 0.39% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 0.93% | 0.32% | 0.46% | 0.39% |
Frequently Asked Questions
PGR and USD have a correlation of -0.29, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
USD has higher volatility (28.47%) compared to PGR (7.57%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PGR dropped -71.06% vs USD's -88.63%.
USD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.43 vs -1.04), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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