GDX vs. SPDN
GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) and SPDN (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - GDX is a Gold fund tracking the NYSE MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, while SPDN is a Inverse Equities fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, GDX returned 12.82%/yr vs -12.43%/yr for SPDN. At a correlation of -0.20, they often move in opposite directions. GDX charges 0.51%/yr vs 0.50%/yr for SPDN.
Performance
GDX vs. SPDN - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, GDX achieves a -8.28% return, which is significantly lower than SPDN's -5.89% return. Over the past 10 years, GDX has outperformed SPDN with an annualized return of 12.82%, while SPDN has yielded a comparatively lower -12.43% annualized return.
GDX
- 1D
- -0.22%
- 1M
- -16.83%
- YTD
- -8.28%
- 6M
- 0.10%
- 1Y
- 53.51%
- 3Y*
- 37.89%
- 5Y*
- 17.28%
- 10Y*
- 12.82%
SPDN
- 1D
- -0.11%
- 1M
- 0.11%
- YTD
- -5.89%
- 6M
- -5.63%
- 1Y
- -14.82%
- 3Y*
- -12.12%
- 5Y*
- -8.55%
- 10Y*
- -12.43%
GDX vs. SPDN - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | -8.28% | 154.77% | 10.63% | 9.98% | -9.01% | -9.52% | 23.66% | 39.84% | -8.77% | 11.99% |
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares | -5.89% | -11.09% | -12.88% | -15.04% | 18.63% | -23.72% | -24.56% | -21.94% | 5.41% | -17.16% |
Correlation
The correlation between GDX and SPDN is -0.35, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.35 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.29 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.28 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.20 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 8, 2016 | -0.20 |
The correlation between GDX and SPDN shifts across timeframes, from -0.35 (1 year) to -0.20 (10 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
GDX vs. SPDN — Risk / Return Rank
GDX
SPDN
GDX vs. SPDN - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| GDX | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.37 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +3.32 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.22 | 0.81 | +0.41 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.68 | -0.84 | +2.51 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.32 | -1.53 | +5.85 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| GDX | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.16 | -1.21 | +2.37 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.47 | -0.51 | +0.98 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.35 | -0.69 | +1.04 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.12 | -0.69 | +0.80 |
Drawdowns
GDX vs. SPDN - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum GDX drawdown since its inception was -80.34%, which is greater than SPDN's maximum drawdown of -75.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GDX and SPDN.
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Drawdown Indicators
| GDX | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -80.34% | -75.31% | -5.03% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -32.09% | -17.73% | -14.36% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -32.09% | -38.24% | +6.15% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -46.51% | -43.85% | -2.66% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -49.79% | -75.31% | +25.52% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -32.09% | -74.65% | +42.56% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -40.43% | -48.57% | +8.14% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.42% | 9.71% | +2.71% |
Volatility
GDX vs. SPDN - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has a higher volatility of 16.05% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares (SPDN) at 3.55%. This indicates that GDX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPDN based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| GDX | SPDN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 16.05% | 3.55% | +12.50% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 38.61% | 9.44% | +29.17% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 46.36% | 12.33% | +34.03% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 36.61% | 16.90% | +19.71% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 37.27% | 18.05% | +19.22% |
GDX vs. SPDN - Expense Ratio Comparison
GDX has a 0.51% expense ratio, which is higher than SPDN's 0.50% expense ratio.
Dividends
GDX vs. SPDN - Dividend Comparison
GDX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.80%, less than SPDN's 4.01% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0.80% | 0.74% | 1.19% | 1.61% | 1.66% | 1.67% | 0.53% | 0.67% | 0.50% | 0.76% | 0.26% | 0.85% |
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares | 4.01% | 4.06% | 5.32% | 5.84% | 0.96% | 0.00% | 0.10% | 1.89% | 1.24% | 0.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
GDX and SPDN have a correlation of -0.35, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GDX has higher volatility (16.05%) compared to SPDN (3.55%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GDX dropped -80.34% vs SPDN's -75.31%.
On 10-year performance, GDX leads with 12.82% vs -12.43% for SPDN. On fees, SPDN is cheaper at 0.50% per year. On volatility, SPDN has been the lower-risk option at 3.55%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, GDX has performed better with a 12.82% return vs -12.43%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPDN is cheaper with a 0.50% expense ratio, compared with 0.51% for GDX.
SPDN has the higher dividend yield at 4.01%, compared with 0.80% for GDX.
GDX is categorized as Gold, while SPDN is Inverse Equities. GDX tracks NYSE MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, while SPDN tracks S&P 500 Index. They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.51% for GDX and 0.50% for SPDN.
GDX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.16 vs -1.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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