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FOCPX vs. GBTC
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FOCPX achieves a 21.95% return, which is significantly higher than GBTC's -28.07% return. Over the past 10 years, FOCPX has underperformed GBTC with an annualized return of 22.02%, while GBTC has yielded a comparatively higher 49.25% annualized return.


FOCPX

1D
-5.07%
1M
0.14%
YTD
21.95%
6M
20.43%
1Y
51.59%
3Y*
32.83%
5Y*
18.08%
10Y*
22.02%

GBTC

1D
5.06%
1M
-21.09%
YTD
-28.07%
6M
-30.74%
1Y
-40.20%
3Y*
53.71%
5Y*
10.31%
10Y*
49.25%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
FOCPX
Fidelity OTC Portfolio
21.95%22.21%38.95%42.64%-32.08%24.94%46.75%39.20%-3.30%38.61%
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
-28.07%-7.65%113.81%317.61%-75.80%7.03%290.72%106.56%-82.10%1,787.72%

Correlation

The correlation between FOCPX and GBTC is 0.45, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.45

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.33

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.43

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.28

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since May 4, 2015

0.26

The correlation between FOCPX and GBTC shifts across timeframes, from 0.26 (all time) to 0.45 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

FOCPX vs. GBTC — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FOCPX
FOCPX Risk / Return Rank: 8686
Overall Rank
FOCPX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9090
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FOCPX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7777
Sortino Ratio Rank
FOCPX Omega Ratio Rank: 7878
Omega Ratio Rank
FOCPX Calmar Ratio Rank: 9292
Calmar Ratio Rank
FOCPX Martin Ratio Rank: 9595
Martin Ratio Rank

GBTC
GBTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
GBTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GBTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
GBTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
GBTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
GBTC Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


FOCPXGBTCDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+3.83

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+4.86

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.50

0.86

+0.64

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

4.77

-0.77

+5.54

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

20.93

-1.38

+22.31

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FOCPX Sharpe Ratio is 2.92, which is higher than the GBTC Sharpe Ratio of -0.91. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FOCPX and GBTC, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


FOCPXGBTCDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.92

-0.91

+3.83

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.80

0.17

+0.63

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.98

0.60

+0.38

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.65

0.65

0.00

Drawdowns

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FOCPX drawdown since its inception was -70.25%, smaller than the maximum GBTC drawdown of -89.91%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FOCPX and GBTC.


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Drawdown Indicators


FOCPXGBTCDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-70.25%

-89.91%

+19.66%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.29%

-52.45%

+41.16%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-24.82%

-52.45%

+27.63%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-37.05%

-85.42%

+48.37%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-37.05%

-89.91%

+52.86%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-5.07%

-50.05%

+44.98%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-17.00%

-43.44%

+26.44%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.57%

29.16%

-26.59%

Volatility

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Fidelity OTC Portfolio (FOCPX) is 7.39%, while Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) has a volatility of 11.75%. This indicates that FOCPX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GBTC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


FOCPXGBTCDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

7.39%

11.75%

-4.36%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

14.89%

34.55%

-19.66%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

18.47%

44.19%

-25.72%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

22.75%

62.40%

-39.65%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

22.49%

82.22%

-59.73%

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Expense Ratio Comparison

FOCPX has a 0.73% expense ratio, which is lower than GBTC's 1.50% expense ratio.


Dividends

FOCPX vs. GBTC - Dividend Comparison

FOCPX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.38%, while GBTC has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FOCPX
Fidelity OTC Portfolio
6.38%7.78%16.76%0.05%4.06%11.53%6.23%7.58%7.93%4.86%3.24%5.41%
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.61%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


FOCPX and GBTC have a correlation of 0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

GBTC has higher volatility (11.75%) compared to FOCPX (7.39%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FOCPX dropped -70.25% vs GBTC's -89.91%.

FOCPX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs -0.91), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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