Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for 40/60 Jul 2026
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40/60 Jul 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the 40/60 Jul 2026 returned 3.64% Year-To-Date and 6.79% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio 40/60 Jul 2026 | 0.00% | -0.20% | 3.64% | 4.28% | 12.14% | 10.01% | 5.34% | 6.79% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0.00% | -0.69% | -0.08% | 0.26% | 4.97% | 3.88% | -0.03% | 1.52% |
ANGL VanEck Vectors Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF | 0.03% | -0.23% | 1.27% | 1.74% | 7.79% | 8.23% | 3.26% | 6.13% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 1.87% | -4.10% | -1.35% | -7.42% | 24.13% | 21.64% | -7.38% | 15.39% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | -0.22% | -16.83% | -8.28% | 0.10% | 53.51% | 37.89% | 17.28% | 12.82% |
ICSH iShares Ultra Short Duration Bond Active ETF | 0.02% | 0.18% | 1.43% | 1.75% | 4.30% | 5.15% | 3.67% | 2.77% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.32% | 1.62% | 7.89% | 8.26% | 19.70% | 19.43% | 11.82% | 14.19% |
SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF | -0.23% | 0.75% | 6.98% | 7.88% | 20.07% | 15.23% | 10.75% | 11.83% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.52% | -1.31% | -1.08% | -1.51% | 3.67% | -2.05% | -6.70% | -1.85% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 0.03% | -0.26% | 0.44% | 0.92% | 4.56% | 5.56% | 2.26% | 2.66% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 31, 2014, 40/60 Jul 2026's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.54%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.7 years.
Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -6.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 40/60 Jul 2026 closed higher 39% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +4.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.65% | 2.84% | -3.29% | 2.31% | 1.03% | -0.82% | 3.64% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.02% | 1.13% | -0.68% | -0.13% | 1.35% | 2.32% | 0.37% | 1.83% | 2.10% | 0.62% | 1.27% | -0.15% | 12.67% |
| 2024 | -0.12% | 0.98% | 2.30% | -2.13% | 2.42% | 0.37% | 2.46% | 2.05% | 1.38% | -1.74% | 2.48% | -2.81% | 7.70% |
| 2023 | 3.47% | -2.61% | 2.73% | 0.87% | -1.48% | 2.04% | 1.64% | -1.41% | -2.80% | -1.30% | 5.40% | 3.37% | 9.95% |
| 2022 | -2.56% | -0.93% | 0.66% | -4.25% | 0.74% | -4.02% | 3.87% | -2.71% | -5.21% | 3.04% | 4.56% | -1.85% | -8.87% |
| 2021 | -0.71% | 0.10% | 1.73% | 1.82% | 0.84% | 0.71% | 1.09% | 0.65% | -2.28% | 2.41% | -1.06% | 2.25% | 7.71% |
Benchmark Metrics
40/60 Jul 2026 has an annualized alpha of 1.90%, beta of 0.36, and R2 of 0.80 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 31, 2014.
- This portfolio participated in 43.44% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 40.69% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.36 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 1.90%
- Beta
- 0.36
- R²
- 0.80
- Upside Capture
- 40.69%
- Downside Capture
- 43.44%
Expense Ratio
40/60 Jul 2026 has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40/60 Jul 2026 ranks 59 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 40/60 Jul 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.28 | 1.94 | +0.34 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.27 | 2.63 | +0.65 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.35 | +0.08 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.73 | 2.59 | +0.14 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.51 | 11.84 | -1.33 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 40 | 1.32 | 1.94 | 1.23 | 1.81 | 5.44 |
ANGL VanEck Vectors Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF | 56 | 1.81 | 2.58 | 1.35 | 1.93 | 8.09 |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 20 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 0.77 | 1.71 |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 35 | 1.16 | 1.58 | 1.22 | 1.68 | 4.32 |
ICSH iShares Ultra Short Duration Bond Active ETF | 99 | 11.01 | 27.36 | 6.56 | 43.67 | 288.81 |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 54 | 1.65 | 2.34 | 1.29 | 2.19 | 9.96 |
SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF | 70 | 2.04 | 2.86 | 1.36 | 3.24 | 12.39 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 15 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 1.19 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 82 | 2.45 | 3.82 | 1.48 | 3.27 | 13.41 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
40/60 Jul 2026 provided a 3.30% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.30% | 3.31% | 3.35% | 2.98% | 2.24% | 1.80% | 2.17% | 2.69% | 2.73% | 2.30% | 2.43% | 2.31% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 4.00% | 3.89% | 3.74% | 3.13% | 2.39% | 1.77% | 2.14% | 2.70% | 2.72% | 2.32% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
ANGL VanEck Vectors Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF | 6.39% | 6.20% | 6.29% | 5.27% | 4.72% | 3.90% | 4.67% | 5.19% | 5.99% | 5.25% | 5.34% | 5.81% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.55% | 1.64% | 0.38% | 3.14% | 1.32% | 0.00% | 2.27% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0.80% | 0.74% | 1.19% | 1.61% | 1.66% | 1.67% | 0.53% | 0.67% | 0.50% | 0.76% | 0.26% | 0.85% |
ICSH iShares Ultra Short Duration Bond Active ETF | 4.34% | 4.55% | 5.24% | 4.78% | 1.66% | 0.42% | 1.21% | 2.61% | 2.20% | 1.36% | 0.88% | 0.54% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.88% | 0.94% | 1.02% | 1.23% | 1.59% | 1.20% | 1.39% | 1.60% | 2.00% | 1.76% | 1.96% | 1.63% |
SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF | 1.70% | 1.77% | 2.29% | 1.75% | 2.22% | 2.10% | 2.38% | 2.25% | 2.97% | 2.77% | 2.39% | 2.53% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.63% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 4.46% | 4.35% | 3.96% | 3.09% | 2.01% | 1.81% | 2.27% | 2.87% | 2.65% | 2.26% | 2.10% | 2.08% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40/60 Jul 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40/60 Jul 2026 was 17.05%, occurring on Mar 20, 2020. Recovery took 77 trading sessions.
The current 40/60 Jul 2026 drawdown is 0.94%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -17.05%Mar 2020 | 29d | 2mo 17d | 3mo 16dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -14.36%Oct 2022 | 9mo 17d | 1y 2mo | 1y 12moDec 2021 - Dec 2023 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -6.04%Dec 2018 | 2mo 22d | 1mo 13d | 4mo 5dOct 2018 - Feb 2019 |
2025 selloff2025 | -5.57%Apr 2025 | 1mo 16d | 1mo 8d | 2mo 24dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2016 pullback2016 | -5.48%Jan 2016 | 8mo 28d | 1mo 26d | 10mo 24dApr 2015 - Mar 2016 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 18 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.76, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.49 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.49, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
40/60 Jul 2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.79 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.79 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.83 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 31, 2014 | 0.85 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QUAL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.97, while TLT has the lowest at -0.13.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 40/60 Jul 2026 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 40/60 Jul 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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